GPT-5 Imminent? Betting Markets Predict OpenAI’s Next-Gen AI Launch This Week
Rumors are swirling as prediction markets place their bets—OpenAI's GPT-5 could drop as soon as this week. If the hype holds, we're staring down the barrel of another AI arms race.
The Speculation Machine Churns
No official word from Sam Altman’s crew, but the gambling odds don’t lie. Traders are backing GPT-5’s arrival like it’s a sure thing—because nothing screams 'trustworthy' like anonymous bettors with leveraged crypto positions.
What’s at Stake?
Another paradigm shift, another round of VC froth. The AI gold rush just found a new vein—assuming the hype isn’t another overpriced hallucination. Either way, the markets are already pricing it in. Place your bets.
On all timeframes, the Polymarket odds for GPT-5 to be relased this week have been increasing, with a 75% chance that the model is released by Sunday, August 10.
The timelines were brought forward following Sam Altman’s appearance on Theo Von’s podcast, his comments on X, and press leaks. There’s even speculation that large buys from new accounts on the GPT-5 markets are likely to be insiders.
Odds suggest Open AI’s GPT-5 will launch this week, Source: Polymarket
GPT-5 is expected to launch within days, offering an “auto-routing” brain that decides on the fly whether to reply with a fast, cheap GPT-style engine or a slower, reasoning-heavy o-series engine, sparing users the guesswork. Think minor evolution, not revolution, but still a crucial edge in the AI arms race.
Key takeaways
- Free users: unlimited chat at “standard” GPT-5 intelligence
- Plus ($20/mo): mid-tier IQ bump
- Pro: highest IQ, bigger context windows, extras like voice, canvas and deep-research tools.
GPT-5 won’t be magic, but it could make ChatGPT feel smarter and cheaper to use—exactly the kind of incremental win OpenAI needs as rivals like Google, Anthropic and xAI double down on similar tricks.
Another market attracting attention is based on whether Open AI will release a browser in 2025. OpenAI’s browser, codename “Aura,” is also now expected to launch this year. The Chromium browser will feature an AI-powered search engine and agentic functions for task automation. It will compete directly with Google and other browsers.
There’s a 74% chance that Open AI will release a browser this year, source: Polymarket
