Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index Flips Positive: Is A Major Rebound Brewing?
Market sentiment just pulled a dramatic U-turn—Bitcoin futures traders are betting bullish again.
The Greed & Fear Flip
After weeks of wallowing in negative territory, the Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index just crossed back into positive ground. That shift signals a sudden surge in trader optimism—the kind that often precedes price momentum.
Futures lead the spot. Always have. When institutional players start positioning long in derivatives, retail tends to follow. And right now, the smart money is leaning into the bounce.
Timing the Rebound
No one rings a bell at the bottom, but futures flows might be the next best thing. Positive sentiment doesn’t guarantee a rally, but it sure fuels one. We’ve seen this play out before: sentiment flips, liquidity follows, and suddenly everyone’s a genius again—until the next pullback, of course.
So is a rebound brewing? The futures market thinks so. And if there’s one thing Wall Street loves more than a comeback story, it’s charging you fees to watch it unfold.
A Shift In Bitcoin Market Mood
Amid the ongoing waning price action of Bitcoin, key metrics are signaling underlying momentum in the market. Meanwhile, Darkfost, an on-chain analyst and author, has outlined a shift in BTC market mood in a recent post on the X platform.
After investigating the Bitcoin futures Composite Sentiment Index on the 1-hour time frame, the expert revealed that the metric has flipped back into positive territory. Specifically, this indicator represents the sentiment of the derivatives markets in the very short term based on the 1-hour time frame.
In addition, it relies on multiple datasets, such as net taker, open interest, and long/short volumes, to derive an index reflecting trader sentiment and behavior. Following a short period of cautious positioning and muted momentum, new inflows and increased open interest have given derivatives activity a boost of confidence.
According to the on-chain expert, the key index has turned positive again after 5 days of trending in the negative territory. This shift in traders’ outlook indicates that Bitcoin futures markets are showing signs of renewed optimism.
Darkfost highlighted that since derivatives markets account for a considerably larger portion of trading volumes than spot and Exchange-Traded-Funds (ETFs), it is imperative to comprehend trader mood. While highlighting the importance of investor behavior, the expert noted that the market is currently in a configuration likely similar to early August.
During the period, the metric dropped below -1 before rebounding into positive territory and pushing BTC’s price. Meanwhile, the ratio has turned positive again after hitting -0.7 on Thursday, indicating a moment of stress and general pessimism. While it is likely to mirror the results from early August, Darkfost stated that this trend must follow the same path, which will be determined in the short term.
BTC Market Momentum Subsiding
As Bitcoin’s price drops, its market momentum appears to be subsiding, as observed in the CryptoQuant Bull Score Index. Julio Moreno, the head of research at CryptoQuant, reported that the metric has made a notable shift, moving from the “Bullish Cooldown” zone into a “Neutral” phase.
Data shared by the research head shows that the metric fell from 70 to 50. A shift in the index into a neutral zone leaves BTC in a wait-and-see position. The expert outlined that further index softening suggests that the price may drop, which is important for risk management.
