HBAR Consolidates Near Lows: Analysts Map Potential Short-Term Bounce Scenarios for 2025

HBAR grinds sideways at depressed levels—but technical eyes are watching for a coiled spring.

The Setup: Compression Before Expansion

It's the classic chartist's dilemma: a token stuck in a tight range after a significant decline. For HBAR, that range is the neighborhood of recent lows, a zone where selling pressure has, for now, exhausted itself. The price action isn't screaming recovery; it's whispering consolidation. This quiet period builds the foundation for the next volatile move.

Reading the Tea Leaves (Or Charts)

Analysts aren't predicting a moon mission here—they're sketching plausible bounce scenarios. The focus is short-term: a relief rally to clear oversold conditions and test immediate resistance levels. Think of it as a market taking a breath, not training for a marathon. These scenarios hinge on basic technical principles: support holding, momentum oscillators resetting, and volume confirming any upward break.

The Catalyst Question

What could trigger the move? Sometimes it's a broader market tide lifting all boats—a Bitcoin surge, a risk-on sentiment shift. Other times, it's project-specific: a network upgrade announcement, a major partnership rumor hitting the wires (the lifeblood of many a crypto pump). In the absence of news, pure chart dynamics often take the wheel.

A Cynical Note from the Cheap Seats

Let's be real—the 'analyst map' is often just a fancy term for educated guesswork in a market that enjoys confounding predictions. It's the financial equivalent of weather forecasting in a hurricane zone: sometimes you get it right, often you just get wet.

The Bottom Line

HBAR's current stagnation isn't a sign of death; it's a phase. The market is deciding whether this is a pause before another leg down or the base camp for a short-term climb. For traders, these are the tense, quiet moments that demand patience. The consolidation won't last forever. When it breaks, it will likely break fast.

HBAR Slides to Multi-Month Lows as Selling Pressure Builds

HBAR fell to around $0.11–$0.12 this week after failing to hold above the $0.125 support zone, a level that had acted as a floor several times earlier in the year. The drop coincided with a wider market pullback, as Bitcoin and major altcoins weakened ahead of global macro events, including Senate decisions in the U.S.

Trading data shows that volume surged sharply during attempts to reclaim resistance NEAR $0.119–$0.120, suggesting active distribution rather than sustained accumulation.

Market structure has turned decisively bearish over recent sessions. HBAR is now trading below key moving averages, and momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD continue to point lower.

On-chain and ecosystem data have also weighed on sentiment, with Hedera’s total value locked declining significantly from earlier highs and stablecoin supply on the network shrinking over recent months.

Volume Spikes Show Key Support and Resistance Zones

Despite the broader downtrend, recent volume patterns have drawn attention from short-term traders. During one session, HBAR volume jumped more than 80% above its daily average as the price tested resistance near $0.119.

The rejection triggered another wave of selling, but late-session activity showed renewed buying interest as the price approached the $0.112–$0.113 area. This zone is now viewed as immediate support, with a deeper psychological level around $0.10 acting as the next downside reference if selling resumes.

On the upside, analysts are watching $0.119–$0.122 as a critical resistance band. A clean break above this range WOULD be needed to shift short-term structure and open the door for a move toward prior highs near $0.13.

Some technical analysts argue that HBAR is approaching oversold conditions, noting weakening bearish momentum and signs of trendline breaks on lower timeframes. These signals have fueled short-term bounce scenarios targeting the mid-$0.12 to $0.14 range, provided support continues to hold.

Others remain cautious, pointing to stalled demand for recent Hedera-linked investment products and slowing ecosystem growth. From this view, failure to defend current levels could expose HBAR to a retest of $0.10, a level last seen during earlier liquidation events.

Cover image from ChatGPT, HBARUSD chart from Tradingview