VanEck Doubles Down: Bitcoin Primed to Hit $180,000 Before 2026

Wall Street's crypto believers are back at it—VanEck just dropped a bombshell prediction that’ll make Bitcoin maxis grin and goldbugs squirm.

The $180K moonshot call

No hedging, no maybes. The asset manager’s crystal ball shows BTC not just recovering its all-time highs but smashing through them like Elon Musk tweets through SEC warnings. Their math? A perfect storm of institutional FOMO, post-halving scarcity, and that classic crypto volatility working in bulls’ favor for once.

Meanwhile in traditional finance…

Bankers are too busy calculating their next overdraft fee to notice the digital gold rush. JPMorgan analysts reportedly needed three assistants just to find the ‘on’ switch for their cold wallets.

Buckle up—this prediction either makes VanEck look like geniuses or secures their spot in next year’s ‘hilariously wrong forecasts’ roundup. Place your bets.

VanEck’s Bitcoin Prediction

VanEck, a key crypto ETF issuer, has a long track record of researching various market trends and drawing important conclusions about possible price trajectories. A few months ago, it cast a rosy future for Bitcoin, and VanEck is reiterating its prediction that BTC will reach $180,000 in 2025:

“As autumn approaches, several intertwined risks and opportunities emerge. Macroeconomic developments and seasonal investor re-engagement could either extend Bitcoin’s momentum or prompt profit-taking. Still, we stick with our $180K BTC price target by year-end,” the report claimed.

So, why is VanEck so confident that Bitcoin is a good investment? Its Mid-August 2025 “ChainCheck” looks at several core data points.

Crunching the Numbers

The firm notes that BTC’s recent all-time high came at a good time, as 92% of on-chain holdings were already profitable before the momentary spike.

Similarly, surging corporate investment has kept BTC in shape, even when ethereum is attracting a ton of institutional inflows. VanEck claimed that Strategy’s steady commitment has encouraged waves of new interest in Bitcoin.

This pattern repeats in several areas of analysis. There’s an apparent setback, but it isn’t actually a serious problem. For example, BTC’s onchain dominance lost a lot of ground to ETH, in part because Ordinals usage collapsed.

Nonetheless, VanEck doesn’t see this as a serious problem for Bitcoin, as corporate capital is keeping volatility low.

BTC mining difficulty reached an all-time high last month, but mining revenues are still soaring. VanEck called special attention to TeraWulf’s partial pivot away from Bitcoin, but didn’t list this as a negative either.

The US mining sector is taking up a greater share of the global hashrate as the market consolidates.

Still, there are a few things to worry about. VanEck noted that corporate bitcoin treasuries could become the trigger for a larger downturn. If BTC volatility remains low for an extended period, it could compromise their ability to raise capital for future purchases. In turn, this might amplify negative price motions.

In the main, though, VanEck’s predictions are very optimistic.