Bitcoin FOMO Alert: Why a $110K Retest Is Inevitable in 2025

Fear of missing out just hit overdrive—Bitcoin's chart screams bullish as whales stack sats like there's no tomorrow.

Here's why traders are bracing for a potential $110K breakout.

The FOMO catalyst: Liquidity grabs and leverage flushes

Short squeezes have vaporized bears while institutional inflows mimic 2021's bull run frenzy—only this time with BlackRock's ETF cannon loaded.

Technical breakout or bull trap?

The monthly chart paints a clear picture: every retest of this demand zone since the halving has sparked 2.5x rallies. But hey—what do charts know? Your fund manager still thinks blockchain is a bike lock technology.

One thing's certain: volatility's back. Whether you're riding the wave or watching from shore, that $110K magnet just got stronger.

Key Takeaways

Bitcoin faces a pivotal test. At the time of writing, 3.75% of the supply sat at a $116,963 cost basis. If this key level breaks, is a $110k retest on the horizon?

Bitcoin [BTC] HODLer pressure is mounting. 

On 16 August, $3 billion+ in realized gains hit the market, sparking the largest profit-taking spike of the month. Bitcoin responded with a 1.9% intraday dip to $114,707, kicking the week off in the red.

Sure, we’re barely a week past the ATH. So, calling it a top is premature. However, is $114k shaping up as a “strong” accumulation zone? Compared to $110k, it still sits above the key support cluster, leaving room for a deeper retest.

Source: Glassnode

On-chain, $116,963 is Bitcoin’s largest cost-basis cluster, holding 700k+ BTC (3.61% of supply) – Making it a major supply zone that could act as resistance or anchor a pullback.

In simple terms, $114k might attract some buying. However, with a heavy supply cluster NEAR breakeven, the risk of a margin squeeze might be rising. $110k looks like the more probable liquidity grab zone before fresh buying kicks in.

Additionally, Bitcoin’s Accumulation Trend Score flipped orange for the first time this month, tumbling from 0.57 to 0.20 in under a week. It underlined a clear slowdown in HODLer stacking, even at discounted levels.

Market caution keeps Bitcoin FOMO on ice

With HODLer pressure building and FOMO cooling off, the market has been leaning ask-heavy, with supply calling the shots on the price action. 

That means Bitcoin’s nearly 8% pullback from its ATH isn’t random. Bid-side support is fading, creating a clear order-flow imbalance. In turn, it sets the stage for potential liquidity hunts at lower levels.

Macro cues are syncing up too. For example – On Polymarket, 25 September bps rate-cut odds dropped from 80%+ to 73%, while no-change contracts surged from 12% to 26% in just a week.

Source: Polymarket

This divergence matters. 

It backs AMBCrypto’s view of a likely $110k retest (or lower), one where FOMO could finally re-engage and drive the next bull leg. This WOULD leave the $114k–$115k zone looking like a weak support for now.

The logic’s simple – The market was pricing in a Q4 rally based on monetary easing. However, with that tailwind fading, FOMO’s on pause, reinforcing Bitcoin’s current spot a less attractive entry for buyers.