TRON’s Bold Comeback Faces 2 Major Hurdles – Can TRX Defy the Odds in 2025?

TRON’s resurgence hits a wall—two critical challenges threaten its momentum. Here’s the unfiltered breakdown.

The Regulatory Gauntlet

Global watchdogs are sharpening their knives—DeFi’s wild west era is over. TRX’s compliance strategy? Still more gaps than a blockchain with 51% downtime.

The Scalability Showdown

Ethereum’s Layer 2 eats bottlenecks for breakfast. Meanwhile, TRON’s ‘high throughput’ claims face their first real stress test since bankers discovered the word ‘crypto’.

The road ahead? Either Justin Sun pulls another rabbit from his hat, or TRX becomes another cautionary tale in the crypto circus. Place your bets—the house always wins.

Source: CryptoQuant

A deeper conviction in TRX’s rally

The latest historical concentration data points to a significant accumulation trend among large holders.

Whales increased their holdings by 9.38% over 30 days, while investor-level wallets surged 43.01%. In contrast, retail wallet growth remained modest at 3.57%.

This divergence painted a picture that strategic buyers are increasingly confident in TRX’s mid-term outlook, while smaller holders remain cautious.

Source: IntoTheBlock

If retail flows start catching up, the existing whale pressure could FORM a solid floor under TRX’s price.

Why is TRON’s social chatter exploding?

After months of low attention, TRON has clawed back attention.

TRX’s Social Dominance metric spiked past 1.4% recently, according to Santiment, before cooling slightly.

This increase suggested that TRX has re-entered the public narrative, likely fueled by price movement and rising on-chain engagement.

Spikes of this nature often precede heightened trading activity, especially if reinforced by bullish sentiment and sustained network growth. 

Source: Santiment

Will THESE conflicting signals stall TRX’s momentum?

However, not all metrics were bullish. TRX’s Funding Rates remained erratic.

While there were brief bursts of positive sentiment, negative rates quickly returned, hinting at a bearish tilt in the Futures market.

This uneven structure indicates hesitation among traders. On the bright side, it also reduces the risk of excessive long-side leverage, preserving room for more sustainable upside if sentiment gradually shifts.

Source: Santiment

$0.28 liquidity wall vs. downside pressure

TRX’s 24-hour Liquidation Heatmap showed dense liquidation clusters between $0.275 and $0.283 at press time, acting as a major resistance zone.

Large Leveraged positions were stacked in this range, meaning price spikes into this region may trigger forced liquidations. 

On the downside, smaller but notable clusters also existed between $0.265 and $0.26, creating a tight short-term trading band. 

Unless buyers push convincingly above $0.28, TRX risks remaining trapped between key liquidity zones, especially under macro volatility or shifts in funding dynamics.

Source: CoinGlass

Can TRX defy external pressure?

The altcoin’s fundamentals look promising, with surging transactions, rising investor accumulation, and growing community interest. 

However, cautious derivatives sentiment and liquidation resistance NEAR $0.28 remain risks. If whales maintain their buying pressure and social interest sustains, TRX could continue pushing higher.