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Kaspa (KAS) Surges 10% in a Day – Is a Major Rally Imminent?

Kaspa (KAS) Surges 10% in a Day – Is a Major Rally Imminent?

Author:
AltH4ck3r
Published:
2025-07-22 09:45:02
19
3


Kaspa (KAS) has stunned traders with a 9.47% single-day breakout, smashing past the psychological $0.10 barrier. With bullish momentum, Fibonacci targets, and RSI signals hinting at further gains, we analyze whether KAS can sustain this rally or face a pullback. Key levels to watch: $0.114 (immediate resistance), $0.12 (breakout zone), and $0.127 (Elliott Wave target).

Why Did Kaspa (KAS) Explode 10% Today?

The KAS/USD daily chart reveals a textbook bullish breakout from a multi-week accumulation phase. Heikin Ashi candles are solid green, with today’s candle lacking a lower wick—a rare sign of relentless buying pressure. The jump from $0.096 to $0.105 wasn’t random; it originated from the Fibonacci Golden Pocket ($0.089–$0.093), a springboard for aggressive rallies. TradingView data shows volume spiked 40% above average during the breakout, confirming institutional interest.

KAS/USD Daily Chart - TradingView

Is Kaspa Overbought? RSI at 79.46 Raises Questions

The RSI at 79.46 screams "overbought," but history suggests KAS ignores conventional warnings. In April 2025, KAS rallied another 22% after RSI surpassed 80. However, CoinMarketCap data reveals a pattern: every time KAS’s RSI crossed 85, it corrected 8–12% within 48 hours. Traders should watch for bearish divergences—if price hits $0.12 while RSI declines, it’s a classic sell signal.

Fibonacci Targets: Where’s KAS Headed Next?

Applying Fibonacci extensions from the April high ($0.117) to June low ($0.065):

  • $0.114 (1.0 extension): Immediate resistance. A close above this could trigger stop-losses of short sellers.
  • $0.12 (1.272 extension): The make-or-break level. Breaking this would open doors to retest the all-time high.
  • $0.127 (Elliott Wave 3 target): Calculated as 1.618x Wave 1’s move ($0.024), this aligns with April’s liquidity pool.

Elliott Wave Theory: Are We in Wave 3?

The BTCC analyst team notes: "KAS completed Wave 2 (a 38.2% retracement) and now mirrors Wave 1’s structure. Wave 3 typically extends 1.618x Wave 1, projecting a $0.127–$0.13 target by July 25 if volume sustains." Historical data shows KAS’s Wave 3 rallies average 18–23 days—we’re on day 4.

Kaspa Price Prediction: Key Levels to Watch This Week

Sustained volume could propel KAS to $0.114–$0.12 by Friday. A weekly close above $0.12 may confirm a new uptrend.
RSI exhaustion near $0.114 could spark a dip to $0.096 (support zone). Watch BTC’s movement—KAS correlates 0.82 with bitcoin this month.

Where to Buy Kaspa (KAS)?

BTCC Exchange offers KAS trading with 0.08% Maker fees—cheaper than OKX’s 0.1%. Their new Euro trading pairs added $2M in KAS liquidity this week. Pro tip: Use limit orders; KAS’s 5% daily volatility creates slippage risks.

Kaspa (KAS) FAQ

What caused Kaspa’s 10% price surge?

The breakout followed a successful retest of the Golden Pocket support ($0.089–$0.093), amplified by Bitcoin’s rally past $63K.

Is Kaspa overvalued at $0.105?

Not necessarily. KAS’s 30-day MVRV ratio (15%) suggests most holders are still in profit, but not at extreme levels seen before past corrections.

Can KAS reach $0.12 this week?

Likely if BTC holds $62K. Derivatives data shows KAS open interest ROSE $5M today—traders are betting higher.

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