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Palantir’s $1 Trillion Dream? Top Investor Warns ’Don’t Bet on It Anytime Soon’

Palantir’s $1 Trillion Dream? Top Investor Warns ’Don’t Bet on It Anytime Soon’

Author:
tipranks
Published:
2025-11-23 16:25:06
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Palantir's trillion-dollar fantasy hits reality check

Why the data giant's valuation faces impossible math

Top investors see fundamental flaws in growth projections

Current trajectory puts $1 trillion decades away—if ever

Market skeptics point to stretched valuations across tech

Another case of Wall Street dreaming bigger than the numbers justify

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And yet, there’s no denying that Palantir is in the midst of remarkable momentum. The company delivered 63% year-over-year revenue growth and posted a Rule of 40 score of 114%, a level that sits well above its software peers. Palantir also reported a total contract value (TCV) of $2.8 billion, up 151% from a year ago, underscoring a pipeline that appears well-positioned for continued expansion.

So, is the current dip just a bump on Palantir’s rocketing trajectory toward the stars and an imminent $1 trillion valuation? Top investor Adam Spatacco isn’t so sure.

“While Palantir may one day become a member of the trillion-dollar club, believing that it will become the next AI stock to do so is overly optimistic,” states Spatacco, who is among the top 1% of stock pros covered by TipRanks.

That doesn’t mean that Spatacco is a pessimistic about Palantir. Looking at the company’s data analytics capabilities, the investor acknowledges that Palantir is “swiftly becoming the backbone of enterprise AI software protocols.”

Still, the investor is worried about PLTR’s “historically pricey” valuation multiples. Combined with “sky-high” investor expectations, Spatacco predicts that these elevated levels could lead to a selloff if the company’s growth begins to level off.

On that note, Spatacco offers some cautious words: “Where I begin to grow skeptical is the likelihood of Palantir continuing to generate market-beating returns.”

Another worrisome development could come from the institutional investor community, which Spatacco believes could begin to rotate out of Palantir due to the massive run over the past few years.

Summing up, the investor argues that restraint should TRUMP any exuberant predictions of $1 trillion, at least for the time being.

“Ultimately, I remain bullish on Palantir’s long-term prospects but view the stock as overbought right now,” sums up Spatacco. (To watch Spatacco’s track record, click here)

Wall Street is keeping PLTR at arms length as well. With 3 Buys, 11 Holds, and 2 Sells, PLTR carries a consensus Hold (i.e. Neutral) rating. However, its 12-month average price target of $187.87 implies a 21% upside from current levels. (See)

To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

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