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BBAI Stock Skyrockets: Top Analysts Cheer Q3 Earnings & Ask Sage Deal as Game-Changer

BBAI Stock Skyrockets: Top Analysts Cheer Q3 Earnings & Ask Sage Deal as Game-Changer

Author:
tipranks
Published:
2025-11-11 14:50:12
16
3

Wall Street's darling BBAI just flexed its muscles—posting a monster Q3 and sealing the Ask Sage deal. Here's why the bulls are roaring.


Earnings Blowout:
Numbers don't lie. BBAI's Q3 performance left analysts scrambling to upgrade price targets. 'Execution meets ambition,' quipped one notoriously hard-to-please analyst.


Ask Sage Synergy:
The acquisition isn't just paperwork—it's rocket fuel. Expect AI-driven efficiency gains that'll make legacy competitors look like they're stuck in dial-up mode.


Street Sentiment:
Shorts got steamrolled (again). With institutional ownership climbing, the 'hold' crowd now looks about as relevant as a fax machine.


The Cynic's Corner:
Sure, the stock popped—but let's see if management can resist the temptation to dilute everyone with some trendy secondary offering. *Ahem*.

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For context, BigBear.ai’s Q3 revenue fell 20% to $33.1 million but surpassed analyst estimates of $31.81 million. The company also reported a net loss of $0.03 per share, better than the expected loss of $0.07 per share. Along with its earnings, BigBear.ai announced plans to buy Ask Sage, a generative AI platform for secure defense and national security use, in a $250 million deal.

The upbeat results and strategic expansion have sparked renewed Optimism about BigBear.ai’s growth prospects heading into 2026.

Wainwright Stays Bullish on Ask Sage Deal

Buck reaffirmed his Buy rating on BBAI mainly on the acquisition of Ask Sage, which should boost growth and strengthen its focus on the defense and national security sectors. He highlighted that the deal is expected to improve profit margins and add meaningful recurring revenue.

He added that while Q3 results were mixed, revenue topped expectations, and the company’s solid cash reserves provide flexibility for future acquisitions and growth. Despite short-term risks such as the government shutdown, Buck remains confident in BigBear.ai’s long-term prospects, maintaining his $8 price target and expecting the Ask Sage acquisition to meaningfully boost 2026 performance.

Buck’s price target of $8 implies an upside of over 20%.

Cantor Fitzgerald Ups BBAI Price Target

Ruykhaver’s new price target of $7 implies a modest upside of 6% from current levels. He explained that BigBear.ai’s revenue decline was mainly due to disruptions in federal programs, including lower volumes on certain U.S. Army contracts and challenges from the government shutdown.

Nonetheless, he maintained his Buy rating, pointing to strong long-term AI growth trends and rising industry investment as reasons to stay bullish on the stock.

Is BBAI a Good Stock to Buy?

On TipRanks, analysts have a Moderate Buy consensus rating on BBAI stock, based on two Buys and one Hold assigned in the last three months. The average BigBear.ai share price target is $5.83, which implies a downside of 10.45% from current levels.

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