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CVX, BP, OXY Stocks Face Pressure as International Energy Agency Warns of Looming Oil Glut

CVX, BP, OXY Stocks Face Pressure as International Energy Agency Warns of Looming Oil Glut

Author:
tipranks
Published:
2025-10-14 19:04:14
11
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Energy giants Chevron, BP, and Occidental Petroleum brace for impact as global oil markets face unprecedented oversupply.

Market Shockwaves

The International Energy Agency's latest report sends tremors through traditional energy sectors—just as digital assets continue demonstrating their immunity to fossil fuel volatility. While oil producers scramble to adjust production, cryptocurrency markets operate on an entirely different economic logic.

Structural Shift

Traditional energy companies face fundamental challenges that blockchain-based assets simply don't encounter. No production caps, no storage limitations, no physical distribution bottlenecks. Digital currencies flow across borders instantly—while oil tankers still take weeks to cross oceans.

Finance's Ironic Twist

Wall Street analysts scramble to revise their energy sector forecasts—the same experts who once dismissed Bitcoin as a passing fad now watch helplessly as digital assets consistently outperform their precious oil stocks. Sometimes the future arrives whether you're prepared or not.

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The IEA says that a huge glut of oil is likely to FORM over the next year as OPEC+ producers continue to raise their production even as worldwide demand remains sluggish. The latest outlook from the IEA builds on its earlier prediction of a 2026 surplus of about 3.3 million barrels per day.

A surplus of four million barrels per day WOULD be equal to almost 4% of world energy demand. OPEC+ recently added more crude to the market after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies decided to unwind some output cuts faster than scheduled. The extra supply is adding to fears of an oil glut and weighing down prices.

Supply vs. Demand

In the IEA’s view, supply is rising faster than demand globally, exerting downward pressure on oil prices. This year, the agency expects supply to rise by three million barrels per day, up from 2.7 million barrels per day previously. Next year, supply is forecast to rise a further 2.4 million barrels per day.

The IEA also trimmed its forecast for world demand growth this year to 710,000 barrels per day, down 30,000 barrels per day from an earlier forecast. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, the American standard, is currently trading at $58.86 a barrel, while Brent crude oil, the international benchmark, is trading at $62.53 per barrel.

The current situation is also weighing on the share prices of oil majors such as Chevron (CVX), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), and British Petroleum (BP).

Is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust a Buy?

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) currently has a Moderate Buy rating among 504 Wall Street analysts. That rating is based on 420 Buy, 78 Hold, and six Sell recommendations issued in the last three months. The average SPY price target of $733.65 implies 11.33% upside from current levels.

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