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Mixed show

Samvat 2081 was marked by severe market volatility due to persistent FII outflows, global trade frictions, kinetic war and geopolitical uncertainty. It was a year when Nifty50 was up 4.2 per cent (till mid-October), while broader market ended on a mixed note with Nifty Midcap100 up 4.7 per cent and Smallcap100 down 2.7 per cent.

“While Indian equities have been largely range-bound, underlying fundamentals have strengthened, supported by a 7.8 per cent GDP growth in Q1FY26, easing inflation (1.5 per cent in September 2025 vs 5.5 per cent in September 2024), and an improving policy backdrop,” said a report from Motilal Oswal Financial Services.

Even though the Indian markets have shown resilience and have typically been moving sideways, “any cool-off on global markets could impact Indian markets, going forward,” Bhavesh Jain, Co Head - Factor Investing, Edelweiss MF, told businessline.

Going forward, according to Motilal Oswal, the RBI’s rate-cut along with the I-T and GST reforms mark the “beginning of a turnaround” in India’s domestic growth momentum.

Shruti Jain, Chief Strategy Officer, Arihant Capital Markets, too, is positive about the upcoming Samvat. “The macroeconomic trends point towards a better FY26 so we expect recovery after this consolidation phase.” According to her, a lot hinges on earnings catching up; else, “we may see valuation multiples contract,” she added.

HDFC Securities in its report said, “The July-September quarter looks promising with softer commodity prices, moderating inflation, robust banking performance, and resilient auto-capital goods demand.” Though near-term volatility persists amid global uncertainty and trade tensions, current weakness—driven by global rather than domestic factors—offers long-term investors opportunities to accumulate quality stocks at attractive valuations for potential outperformance till next Diwali, it added.

Abhishek Banerjee, investment manager at smallcase and Founder Lotusdew Wealth, added, “Earnings should roughly track nominal GDP in aggregate, while there will be breakout companies that need to be handpicked. Hence for a good stock selector, potential returns can be quite high over the next 12 months.”

Alpha generators?

Some of the dark horse stocks that brokerages picked included Rainbow Children’s Hospital, DOMS Industries, Swiggy, FIEM Industries, Ratnamani Metals, Brainbees, Eureka Forbes, Royal Orchid Hotels, Gravita, Cummins, HBL Industries, Sheela Foam, Northern Arc, Transrail Lighting, Sagility, Skipper, Delhivery, Kalyani Steels, Belrise Industries, etc.

Other prominent picks included Adani Ports & SEZ, Bajaj Finance, Nykaa, IndusInd Bank, Maruti Suzuki, SBI, JSW Energy, Indian Hotels, CG Power and Mahindra & Mahindra. Lupin, Divi’s Lab, Apollo Hospitals, Wockhardt and others have also been featured from pharma and healthcare sector.

While the precious metals Gold and silver continue to glitter, some advise investors to add gold and silver ETFs as well.

Published on October 17, 2025