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Ciena’s Meteoric Surge: Here’s Why This Tech Stock Just Skyrocketed

Ciena’s Meteoric Surge: Here’s Why This Tech Stock Just Skyrocketed

Author:
foolstock
Published:
2025-09-05 07:57:54
8
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Ciena just ripped through the stratosphere—and traders are scrambling to understand the momentum behind this explosive move.

The Network Infrastructure Breakthrough

Massive institutional accumulation drove the spike, with volume hitting triple the monthly average. Shorts got vaporized as buying pressure overwhelmed resistance levels.

Market Mechanics in Play

This wasn't retail FOMO—this was smart money positioning ahead of sector rotation. While traditional finance was busy over-engineering derivative products, Ciena's pure-play tech stack attracted capital seeking actual innovation.

Why It Matters Beyond the Charts

The move signals renewed confidence in physical infrastructure plays—a stark contrast to the vaporware valuations plaguing other segments. Sometimes the best trade is betting on the pipes, not the promises.

Ciena blows past estimates on the back of AI networking needs

In its fiscal third quarter, Ciena grew revenue 29.4% to $1.22 billion, while adjusted non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) earnings per share nearly doubled, up 91.4% to $0.67. Both figures handily beat analyst expectations, especially the bottom-line figure, which bested estimates by $0.14.

Ciena is capitalizing on the newfound demand for inter-data center networking, stemming from the growth of generative AI. AI training companies are now connecting multiple data centers to function as a single AI "cluster," which increases bandwidth needs. Moreover, as AI becomes infused into many enterprise and edge applications, the need for lighting-fast "inferencing" is also growing networking demand by leaps and bounds.

While Ciena's traditional telecom market is only growing at a 4% pace, newer markets in metro routing and data center communications are forecast to grow at a 26% compound annualized growth rate through 2028, wherein the new markets will equal the size of Ciena's traditional markets.

Globe seen from space illuminated with light, suggesting communications.

Image source: Getty Images.

Ciena: An underappreciated AI star?

After its rally this week, Ciena currently trades around 27.5 times next year's earnings estimates. Its fiscal year ends in October 2026.

That's not exactly cheap anymore, but it is a lower valuation than other AI stars that have recently come onto the scene. That being said, the company could make for a solid addition to a high-quality AI-oriented "basket" portfolio for those bullish on the long-term prospects of the AI build-out.

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