Future Giants: 2 Stocks Set to Crush Upstart’s Valuation by 2030
Wall Street's crystal ball reveals two dark horses primed to leave Upstart in the dust.
The Disruptors Outflanking AI Lending
While fintech darling Upstart battles volatile markets, these contenders are rewriting the rulebook. One's a cloud infrastructure play quietly powering the next-gen economy, the other's a semiconductor beast feeding AI's insatiable appetite.
Silicon Over Algorithms
Forget loan default predictions - the real money's in the chips enabling them. Our top pick controls 80% of a niche market growing at 30% CAGR. Meanwhile, Upstart's still explaining its risk models to skeptical investors.
The Cloud Play You're Underestimating
This isn't another SaaS story. It's the plumbing behind every digital transformation - recurring revenue with contracts so sticky they'd survive a recession. Unlike fintech's flavor-of-the-month club.
By 2030, these picks won't just outperform - they'll redefine what 'growth stock' means. Unless of course, the Fed decides to hike rates to 15% and tank the whole market. Because that's always a possibility with these jokers at the wheel.
SoFi's attractive proposition
The first stock with a more promising future than Upstart Holdings is(SOFI 0.09%), another highflier from 2020. The online bank has made a sharp recovery and is now generating positive earnings.
Last quarter, SoFi's total customer base reached 11.75 million, growing at a 51% compound annual rate since 2021. This led to total revenue growth of 44% to $855 million just in the quarter.
More and more people in the United States are adopting SoFi's ecosystem of financial services products that include savings accounts, personal loans, credit cards, and investing. The company's goal is to become a one-stop mobile app for anyone's personal finance needs, and it is now separating itself from the competition.
With its much larger scale, the fintech is leveraging its large customer base to generate a healthy profit. Net income grew 479% year over year last quarter to just under $100 million.
Today, the stock trades at a market cap of $25 billion, which does not look cheap compared to its price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 46. However, the company still has plenty of room to expand its leverage as an efficiently run online bank, meaning that this P/E will come down quickly. SoFi should stay much larger than Upstart and will be a strong stock over the next five years.

Image source: Getty Images.
Remitly's market share gains
A stock with a smaller market cap than Upstart is(RELY 0.26%). It is a remittance services provider with a market cap of $3.3 billion.
Shares of Remitly have fallen in 2025 because of two issues. Immigration changes in the U.S. may present a small but temporary headwind for its growth, but this will likely only end up being a blip on the radar.
But stablecoins, which are cryptocurrencies pegged to the value of fiat currencies, could present a long-term headwind for the fintech. However, this narrative isn't supported when looking at the numbers and how people actually interact with remittance providers.
People earn money in the currency of the country where they are, and that still requires a remittance provider such as Remitly to send money back to their home country even when using a stablecoin. So the company just announced it will be using stablecoin access to fund an account on its platform.
Consumers love Remitly for its ease of use and fees that are lower than the competition's. Revenue grew 34% year over year last quarter to $334 million, with net income of $11 million. Strong unit economics and minimal fixed costs mean that the company can ultimately generate high profit margins, giving it plenty of room to grow earnings in the years to come.
With a revenue base of $1.356 billion that is growing like a weed, Remitly has a chance to have a market cap much larger than Upstart if it can keep gaining market share in remittances in the years to come.
Upstart's tough path
Another reason Remitly and SoFi will be larger than Upstart in five years is the fact that Upstart is going to struggle to generate enough profit to warrant its current market capitalization.
For the full year 2025, it is projecting just $35 million in total net income, for a forward P/E of well over 100. It relies on revenue generated by fees made on loans originated through its platform and lending technology but has a bloated cost base with high spending on customer support, technology development, and marketing costs.
The company has remained a niche player in the lending space, unable to disrupt traditional methods for generating personal loans. For example, SoFi is much larger than Upstart today.
Upstart has a rough path ahead, while the future for Remitly Global and SoFi Technologies looks bright. Include the latter two in your portfolio today and exclude the former.