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Crypto Truth Bomb: Timing the Market Is a Fool’s Game—Here’s Why HODLing Always Wins

Crypto Truth Bomb: Timing the Market Is a Fool’s Game—Here’s Why HODLing Always Wins

Author:
foolstock
Published:
2025-07-29 17:09:57
15
1

Wall Street's dirty little secret? Market timing is a rigged casino—but crypto flips the script.


The Patience Payoff

While hedge funds burn fees chasing the perfect entry, Bitcoin's 200-week moving average quietly crushes their returns. No crystal ball needed—just cold, hard compounding.


Prediction Is Dead (And Always Was)

93% of day traders fail. The 7% who succeed? They're running exchange front-running bots. Everyone else gets rekt chasing candles.


The Cynic's Corner

Fun fact: 'Time in the market' beats 'timing the market' in every asset class—except maybe your broker's commission structure.

Wake-up call: The only chart pattern that matters? The one where your stack grows while 'smart money' overthinks itself into oblivion.

A magnifying glass over the words "Market data" in the newspaper.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why patience wins in the stock market

The S&P 500 has an incredible track record of generating wealth, but you can only overcome the volatility inherent in the stock market by investing over the long term.

Historically, the S&P 500 generates an average annual return of 9%, but over a shorter period of time, stocks can do much worse. For example, the 2000s are often considered a lost decade in the stock market, as the S&P 500 was essentially flat from its peak in 2000 to 2013 due to the dot-com bust and the Great Financial Crisis.

Since then, the index has surged, ultimately rewarding investors who endured those twin crashes.

Overall, staying invested can help smooth out the volatility that occurs over short-term periods. It also avoids the need to decide when to get back into the market if you sell, which can be much more difficult than simply looking at a stock chart and buying at the bottom.

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