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XRP Primed for Historic Breakout: 3-Month Candle Closing Above Critical Zone Signals Major Price Movement

XRP Primed for Historic Breakout: 3-Month Candle Closing Above Critical Zone Signals Major Price Movement

Author:
foolstock
Published:
2025-09-28 22:37:00
11
1

XRP stands at the precipice of a technical breakthrough that could redefine its market trajectory.

The Critical Threshold

After months of consolidation, XRP's quarterly candle prepares to close above a major resistance region that has contained price action since 2023. This isn't just another technical level—it's the gatekeeper to XRP's next bull phase.

Market Mechanics in Motion

Breaking this zone signals more than just chart patterns. It represents a fundamental shift in market structure where previous resistance becomes future support. The 3-month timeframe adds weight to the move, suggesting institutional accumulation rather than retail speculation.

Historical Precedent

Similar breakouts in XRP's past have preceded runs of 150% or more within subsequent quarters. The current setup mirrors the 2017 and 2021 breakout patterns that caught traditional finance completely off guard.

Regulatory Tailwinds

While technicals drive the narrative, regulatory clarity continues to build beneath the surface. The SEC's fading grip on crypto creates an environment where XRP's utility case strengthens daily.

Of course, Wall Street analysts will call this 'speculative' while their own portfolios bleed from traditional assets. Some things never change.

The bottom line: XRP's technical breakout could trigger the next major leg up, leaving doubters watching from the sidelines once again.

1. Target: down 46%

Before I go into what's holding Target back these days, I want to talk about its juicy dividend. The cheap-chic chain is currently yielding 5.2%, a historic high. With money-market and fixed-income yields heading lower, Target's quarterly distributions are worth celebrating.

Target is good for the money; it has found a way to boost its dividend for 54 consecutive years. You know how they say that e-commerce will be the end of brick-and-mortar chains? Well, Target has found a way to deliver hikes every year since the commercialization of the internet. This Dividend King's latest guidance calls for a profit of between $7 and $9 per share this year, meaning a healthy payout ratio of 51% to 65%.

A dart hits a red bullseye in a red shopping basket.

Image source: Getty Images.

The dividend is sustainable, despite Target's recent misfires. The retailer is struggling to connect with shoppers. In-store comparable sales slipped 5.7% in its most recent quarter, with overall comps down 3.8% for the period. It's losing market share -- a sobering reality for a company that used to feast at the expense of its retail stock rivals with its now-fading aspirational brand.

But patient investors are getting more than a bountiful 5.2% yield right now; they're getting a bargain. Target is trading for just 11 times the midpoint of its earnings guidance this year.

Analysts see a return to revenue and net income growth next year. Wall Street profit targets have been inching higher over the past three months, and the mass-market retailer has exceeded bottom-line expectations in two of the last three quarters. Last month's quarterly report wasn't popular with most investors, but at least three major analysts boosted their price targets on the company. While the turnaround will take time and a potential uptick in reinvestment obligations, there are worse places to be than riding it out with big dividend checks coming every quarter.

2. Duolingo: down 40%

Unlike Target, Duolingo isn't going through growing pains. Revenue growth has topped 40% in each of the last five years. The language-learning company's top line accelerated in its latest quarter, with a 42% year-over-year surge as its healthiest jump in more than a year.

Duolingo's shares have still fallen 40% since scoring an all-time high in the spring, which doesn't seem fair. It wasn't just revenue picking up the pace since the shares peaked -- in the most recent earnings report, profit landed 32% ahead of what Wall Street was modeling. There are concerns about artificial intelligence (AI) leveling the playing field for language learning, but that dismisses Duolingo's own AI enhancements. Its platform and the gamification of learning have made the company a winner.

Unlike the other two names on this list, Duolingo isn't cheap; it's trading for nearly 40 times forward earnings. However, it was trading a lot higher when it lacked today's momentum. The Duolingo owl is wise. This feels like a buying opportunity in any language.

3. Crocs: down 43%

Like another discarded cheap-chic stock, Crocs is a bargain. The Maker of distinctive footwear is trading for just 6 times this year's projected adjusted earnings. As with Target, revenue and profitability are going the wrong way this year.

Crocs has a history of riding the ups and downs of demand for its comfy hole-laden resin clogs. The same can be said of most shoe stocks. It always finds a way to get back in style, doing so consistently for a couple of decades. Its streak of seven consecutive years of top-line gains may come to an end this year, but it's not likely to stay down for long.

It doesn't offer the same chunky yield as Target -- there's no payout at all -- but bargains come with different perks. Crocs is cheap, and history is on the side of those who believe when the masses do not.

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