A Once-in-a-Decade Opportunity: 1 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend King Down 26% to Buy Right Now

Market anomaly surfaces as blue-chip dividend aristocrat plunges 26%—creating historic entry point for savvy investors.

THE DIP THAT DEFIES LOGIC

Wall Street's favorite dividend king stumbles hard, dropping 26% while maintaining fundamentals that scream oversold. This isn't just a correction—it's a structural mispricing that happens maybe three times in an investing career.

DIVIDEND ARISTOCRAT ON SALE

The 26% discount represents the steepest decline this S&P 500 component has seen in years. Dividend growth trajectory remains intact despite the price action suggesting otherwise. Contrarians are circling while the herd panics.

WHY THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT

Market psychology has created a perfect storm of fear and momentum chasing elsewhere. Traditional investors flock to shiny objects while this workhorse gets punished for... being consistent? Classic Wall Street logic.

Timing the absolute bottom is impossible, but recognizing generational value isn't. This 26% discount won't last—the smart money is already positioning. Sometimes the best opportunities hide in plain sight, disguised as 'boring' companies while crypto bros chase the next memecoin.

Image source: Getty Images.

Colgate-Palmolive's brand moat

Colgate-Palmolive has delivered total returns of 12% annually since 1990, becoming a 55-bagger over that period.

Now a true consumer goods juggernaut, Colgate's high-growth days may be behind it, but it can still be a lucrative investment for the right investors.

The main differentiator for Colgate is its category-leading brands. The company is the global market share leader in toothpaste, manual toothbrushes, pet nutrition at VET clinics, and liquid hand soap.

Furthermore, Colgate holds the No. 2 share in four other categories: mouthwash, bar soap, liquid fabric softeners, and hand dishwashing liquids.

In addition to its namesake Colgate and Palmolive brands, the company is also home to a range of other well-known labels, including Hill's pet food, Softsoap, Irish Spring, Hello, Tom's, Ajax, and Fabuloso, among others.

Image source: Colgate-Palmolive Investor Presentation.

Not only does Colgate have a powerful brand moat in each of the consumer product categories into which it sells, but most of its products are essential, repeat purchases. These consistent sales help make Colgate one of the most stable stocks on the market, which explains how the company has raised its dividend for 61 straight years.

Colgate's continuous innovation

While the company doesn't make many massive acquisitions or dive into wholly unrelated product categories, it is masterful at finding niche tuck-in acquisitions and reinventing its already successful products.

This notion is evident in the company's impressive 33% return on invested capital (ROIC). Measuring the profitability Colgate generates from its debt and equity, this high ROIC shows that the company thrives when it reinvests in its operations.

This top-tier ROIC is especially powerful considering Colgate spent nearly $4 billion on acquisitions over the last decade.

While many aging stocks are excellent at lighting cash on fire when they try to integrate new acquisitions, Colgate has a long track record of successfully generating outsize profits from its new businesses and product iterations.

This ability to invest in new growth areas and defend its market share with new versions of products makes Colgate's long-term outlook as steady as ever.

Colgate's once-in-a-decade valuation

Best yet for investors, despite Colgate's brand power and high ROIC, the company currently trades at about 20 times free cash FLOW (FCF), far below its historical averages.

CL Price to Free Cash Flow and Dividend Yield data by

Meanwhile, the company's 2.5% dividend yield is also higher than usual, making it particularly alluring at today's prices.

If I plug Colgate's data into a reverse discounted cash flow calculator, I find that the company WOULD have to grow its FCF by 4.5% annually to justify its current share price.

Considering the company grew its organic sales and FCF by 7% and 8% over the last five years, I don't think it's outrageous to believe Colgate can clear this 4.5% hurdle.

The cherry on top for investors?

Despite paying a respectable 2.5% dividend yield, Colgate only uses 48% of its FCF to fund its dividend payments, leaving plenty of room for future increases.

And if that's not enough, management has steadily lowered the company's shares outstanding by 1% annually over the last decade, further juicing investors' returns.

Ultimately, if you're an investor looking for market-stomping returns or the possibility of a mega-multibagger, Colgate-Palmolive isn't the pick for you.

However, if you're looking for a Steady Eddie Dividend King home to a powerful brand moat and an ability to profitably expand and innovate over the long haul, Colgate-Palmolive looks like a once-in-a-decade opportunity at today's price.