Analyst Warns: Bitcoin Could Crash to $50k in 2026 After October Peak
Bitcoin's bull run faces a brutal reality check as analysts predict a dramatic reversal following October's anticipated peak.
The $50k Floor—Or Ceiling?
Market watchers see potential for a 60%+ correction from current levels, dragging Bitcoin back to psychological support zones not seen since early 2025. The projected decline would test investor conviction and shake out weak hands clinging to all-time high dreams.
Timing the Tumble
October's expected top sets the stage for a multi-month descent into 2026—classic crypto volatility meets traditional finance's seasonal patterns. Because nothing says 'mature asset class' like predicting 50% crashes with spreadsheet precision.
Smart money's already positioning for the dip while retail chases green candles. Welcome to digital gold—now with extra turbulence.
Bitcoin fractal repetition cycle compared to its price | Source: X
While Wedson cautions against drawing a conclusion based on only that chart, which puts the market top one month ahead, he states that this may be possible. In this case, bitcoin could dip to $100,000 before surging past $140,000 in weeks. After that, traders can expect a crash to $50,000 in the 2026 bear market.
Will Bitcoin crash to $50K in 2026?
Still, the real question is if the fractal remains reliable, Wedson asks, given the growing institutional demand and ETFs that are driving its price up. Still, there are potential headwinds that serve as a counter-narrative. Notably, macroeconomic pressures are still creating fears in the stock market.
Most of Wall Street is worried about the effects of tariffs on the stock market, while the Federal Reserve is concerned about their effects on inflation. Even Trump’s former ally, Elon Musk, as Wedson points out, warned that Trump’s tariffs WOULD cause a recession in the second half of 2025, in a since-deleted post.
If stocks go into a bear market, Bitcoin will likely follow, especially due to the significant institutional exposure to the asset. If institutions start fleeing into safer investments, Bitcoin faces a significant liquidity crisis.
