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Gold’s Bearish Start: How Far Will XAUUSD Plunge This Week?

Gold’s Bearish Start: How Far Will XAUUSD Plunge This Week?

Published:
2025-07-08 12:52:58
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Gold kicks off the week on shaky ground—selling pressure mounts as traders brace for deeper lows. Will the precious metal find support or spiral further?

XAUUSD's weekly outlook turns grim as bears dominate early trading. Analysts watch key levels like hawks—because in finance, hope is just another asset class to short.

No crystal balls here, but the charts scream caution. When gold stumbles, even the 'safe haven' crowd starts sweating. Time to see if the yellow metal can dodge a full-blown rout—or if it'll join the list of July's financial casualties.

Key economic events of this week

Some significant U.S. economic reports are scheduled for release this week that are expected to impact XAUUSD. 

The tone of the minutes will be carefully examined by traders.  A hawkish approach, which emphasizes inflation risks or additional rate hikes, might make the USD stronger and drive gold lower. The dollar WOULD probably decline, and gold prices would rise in a dovish or split tone.

 

A worsening labor market, which would be good for gold because of lower prospects for rate hikes, may be indicated if claims are greater than anticipated. Short-term pressure on gold could result from lower claims, which would benefit the currency.

Gold HTF Overview

The high of the May 2025 monthly candle has already been tested by the June candle and now from a technical perspective price can come to test its low which is around $3122 before making a MOVE up to its next all-time high.

XAUUSD weekly forecast: gold opens the week in selling, how low can it go? - 1

XAUUSD 1M chart – Source: Tradingview

Gold Forecast for July 7th to July 30th, 2025

The 4h order block in gold is the nearest buying zone, which is around $3296-3274. Price can test it and give 100-300 points move to the upside.

XAUUSD weekly forecast: gold opens the week in selling, how low can it go? - 2

XAUUSD 4h chart – Source: Tradingview

The selling zone in gold is around $3332-3342, which is the 1-hour breaker block and supply area for gold.

XAUUSD weekly forecast: gold opens the week in selling, how low can it go? - 3

XAUUSD 1h chart – Source: Tradingview

Weekly level of gold is the best buying zone in gold, which is coming at $3204.

XAUUSD weekly forecast: gold opens the week in selling, how low can it go? - 4

XAUUSD 1w chart – Source: Tradingview

Trading Strategies & Investment Recommendation

To conclude, gold can give both buys and sells this week. Lower time frames are suggesting sells, while higher time frames are still favoring a buy position in gold. 

Resistance Levels

  • $3332-3342 – 1h breaker block and supply

Support Levels 

  • $3296-3274 – 4h order block
  • $3204 – weekly level

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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