Pro-XRP Lawyer Drops Bombshell: XRP Can’t Topple Ethereum This Cycle—Here’s Why

XRP's hype train just hit a legal speed bump. A prominent pro-XRP attorney concedes the token won't outpace Ethereum in this market cycle—despite the army of 'to-the-moon' bagholders.

The cold hard truth

Ethereum's ecosystem moat runs deeper than a VC's pockets during bull season. While XRP's legal clarity gives it an edge in payments, DeFi protocols aren't rewriting their smart contracts for Ripple's pet project anytime soon.

The institutional factor

Wall Street still treats XRP like a contaminated asset—thanks to the SEC's decade-long temper tantrum. Meanwhile, BlackRock's ETH ETF approval turned Ethereum into the crypto equivalent of blue-chip stocks.

The closer

XRP maximalists can keep dreaming of a 'flippening.' The rest of us will be busy farming airdrops on Layer 2s—where the real money moves faster than a hedge fund dumping retail bags.

TLDR

• Bill Morgan stated that XRP will not overtake Ethereum in the current market cycle.
• Charting Guy said Ethereum has shown strong performance since his April re-entry.
• He noted Ethereum is only 10 percent away from its all-time high.
• XRP’s maximum potential upside is estimated at 2.5 times its current value.
• Even with strong growth XRP would not match Ethereum’s current market capitalization.

Ethereum and XRP have drawn renewed comparisons as market watchers assess performance shifts since late 2023. Charting Guy, a technical analyst, recently noted Ethereum’s significant resurgence. He contrasted this with XRP’s more limited near-term upside potential.

Ethereum’s Renewed Strength

Charting Guy explained that in late 2023 and early 2024, XRP appeared set to surpass ethereum in market capitalization. However, he said this projection has now changed. He revealed that he re-entered Ethereum in April at what he considered near its low point.

late last year and early this year it looked like $XRP was on track to flip $ETH in market cap. i believe that is no longer the case. i re entered $ETH in April NEAR the lows and it has shown immense strength since and is now just 10% away from ATH. $XRP probably has a 2.5x max…

— Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) August 12, 2025

Since then, Ethereum has shown consistent strength and is now only 10% from its all-time high. He compared this to XRP, which he believes could at most rise 2.5 times its current value. Even with such growth, XRP’s market capitalization would still fall short of Ethereum’s present level.

Charting Guy advised holding both assets and letting the market follow its course. He emphasized Ethereum’s recent outperformance was overdue. Moreover, he stated his re-entry was timed to capitalize on this expected strength.

XRP’s Market Position

Bill Morgan, a lawyer and digital asset commentator, responded directly to Charting Guy’s statements. Morgan said, “Not this cycle. XRP will not overtake ETH.” His remarks confirmed agreement with Ethereum maintaining its lead in the current market cycle.

Morgan reinforced his position when questioned about possible market changes. An X user named Sherrie asked whether Ripple gaining a banking license could change XRP’s standing. Morgan replied, “Not in 2025/this market cycle,” dismissing that possibility in the short term.

Not this cycle. XRP will not overtake ETH https://t.co/YyVgPgaoOS

— bill morgan (@Belisarius2020) August 12, 2025

His comments indicate a belief that XRP will not surpass Ethereum despite possible major developments. He highlighted Ethereum’s entrenched dominance and broader adoption. This suggests the lawyer sees XRP’s growth as insufficient for overtaking Ethereum soon.

Broader Market Implications

The discussion highlights the complexity behind cryptocurrency market rankings. XRP supporters often point to institutional adoption and cross-border payment utility as key advantages. They also cite legal clarity gained from recent regulatory outcomes.

However, Morgan’s perspective stresses that multiple factors determine market dominance. Ethereum’s performance, ecosystem, and adoption rate currently give it a commanding lead over XRP. This reflects recent months of stronger momentum for Ethereum compared to XRP.

While market sentiment can shift, Morgan’s comments underscore a restrained outlook for XRP in this cycle. Ethereum’s advantage appears stable for now. Consequently, his remarks frame the competition as unlikely to reverse before the cycle ends.