XRP Price Poised for Explosive Rally? Key Metric Flashes Bullish Signal Mirroring Past Surges

XRP traders are buzzing after a critical technical indicator triggered a buy signal eerily similar to patterns preceding previous major rallies.

The metric—closely watched by crypto veterans—historically precedes double-digit gains. Will history repeat itself?

Market watchers note the token's recent consolidation resembles the calm before past storms. Liquidity pools are tightening, volatility compression suggests an imminent breakout.

Of course, in crypto-land, 'imminent' could mean tomorrow or three fiscal quarters from now—just ask the 'any day now' Bitcoin ETF crowd.

TLDR

• XRP price has stayed above $3 as a rare on-chain signal appeared this week.
• The MVRV ratio crossed above its 200-day moving average indicating renewed bullish sentiment.
• In past cases this golden cross was followed by rallies of 630% and 54%.
• A conservative projection places XRP price at around five dollars and ten cents.
• An aggressive scenario could push XRP price close to $24.

The xrp price has climbed above $3 and held steady, as a rare on-chain signal has triggered bullish expectations. This week, the market value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has crossed above its 200-day moving average. Analysts note that similar events in the past have preceded significant rallies.

MVRV Golden Cross Signals Potential Upside for XRP Price

The MVRV ratio measures average holder profitability and often signals market sentiment changes. A move above its long-term average can indicate renewed bullish momentum. Analyst Ali Martinez highlighted that this “golden cross” previously led to notable XRP price increases.

Martinez said, “The last two times this signal appeared, XRP surged by 630% and 54% respectively.” The latest crossover marks the third such event in recent history. Sharp and sustained gains followed both prior cases in XRP price.

The last two times the MVRV ratio flashed a golden cross, $XRP soared 630% and 54%. That signal just appeared again. pic.twitter.com/rnavmDvscq

— Ali (@ali_charts) August 8, 2025

Historical patterns show that such crossovers can precede strong upward moves. In the first instance, XRP price jumped 630% soon after the indicator flashed. In the second, the cryptocurrency recorded a 54% gain over a shorter period.

Conservative and Aggressive Scenarios for XRP Price

At press time, XRP price trades at $3.31, posting an 11% weekly gain. A conservative projection, matching the earlier 54% rise, WOULD push the token to approximately $5.10. This would also set a new record above its 2018 all-time high of $3.84.

An aggressive scenario, mirroring the 630% rally, would send XRP’s price near $24. Such a move would lift its market capitalization to $1.44 trillion, placing it ahead of major companies such as Tesla and Berkshire Hathaway in valuation.

Analyst EGRAG has maintained that XRP could reach between $10 and $27 this cycle. This aligns with the upper range of the bullish case. However, the outcome will depend on broader market conditions and investor activity.

Legal Resolution Adds to Bullish Sentiment

Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have filed to dismiss their appeals, ending a nearly five-year lawsuit. The resolution removes a significant legal uncertainty that has long weighed on XRP price. Market participants view this as a key driver for renewed confidence.

With legal clarity in place, Optimism is high for another all-time high. If momentum holds, XRP price could achieve record valuations in the coming months. Historical patterns and recent developments both point to a potentially significant rally ahead.