Bitcoin (BTC) Price Alert: Bearish Chart Pattern Emerges as ETF Inflows Plummet 83%
Bitcoin's chart flashes a warning sign just as institutional interest hits a wall.
The Setup
A classic bearish pattern is forming on the BTC chart—a technical red flag that traders watch closely. It signals potential downside momentum ahead. This isn't happening in a vacuum. The fuel that powered the last major rally is sputtering: inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have cratered, dropping a staggering 83%.
The Institutional Chill
That 83% drop in ETF money tells a story. The easy institutional money might have already been made—or the big players are simply waiting for a better entry point after the recent run-up. It's the classic Wall Street play: talk up the asset on the way in, then go quiet when the checks stop writing.
What's Next for BTC?
Technical pressure meets a fundamental slowdown. The bearish pattern suggests lower prices could be on the menu, and without fresh ETF billions, the buy-side support looks thinner. It sets the stage for a volatile test of investor conviction. Remember, in crypto, the narrative shifts faster than a trader can hit 'sell'—yesterday's guaranteed rally is tomorrow's cautionary tale.
TLDR
- Bitcoin price has formed a bearish flag pattern on the daily chart, with analysts predicting a potential drop to $75,000
- Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows have fallen to $237 million this year, down over $3 billion since November
- Only 9 companies announced Bitcoin treasury strategies this quarter, down 83% from 53 companies in Q3
- Bitcoin currently trades around $92,399, up 2.5% and on track for weekly gains following the Federal Reserve’s 25 basis point rate cut
- Bitcoin has remained stuck in a trading range between $88,000 and $93,000 throughout December
Bitcoin price has recovered 13% from its November lows of $80,637. The world’s largest cryptocurrency currently trades around $92,399, showing a 2.5% gain as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut decision.
The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, marking the third reduction this year. The central bank also signaled a cautious approach to further easing in 2026.
Bitcoin has struggled to break out of its current trading range. The cryptocurrency has remained stuck between $88,000 and $93,000 for most of December. This limited movement comes despite the softer rate environment that typically supports risk assets.
Technical analysis shows concerning patterns forming on the daily chart. Bitcoin has faced rejection at the 50-day Exponential Moving Average. The price has also stayed below the Supertrend indicator, which it needs to move above to confirm a true rebound.
$BTC bear flag is too hard to ignore.
A 12H close above the $96,000 level will invalidate this bear flag.
A drop below the $86,000 level could push bitcoin below the April 2025 lows. pic.twitter.com/wCHynrqWyx
— Ted (@TedPillows) December 12, 2025
The most worrying development is the formation of a bearish flag pattern. This technical setup often leads to a strong breakdown. The pattern has completed its inverted flagpole section and is now in the flag portion.
Weak ETF Demand Raises Concerns
Institutional demand for Bitcoin has cooled in recent months. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have added only $237 million in inflows this year, bringing total inflows to over $57 billion.
On December 11 (ET), U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $77.34 million, with Fidelity’s FBTC leading at a $104 million outflow. Spot ethereum ETFs saw a total net outflow of $42.37 million, with 21Shares’ TETH being the only product to post net inflows. Spot… pic.twitter.com/2XISf5dhJh
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) December 12, 2025
These numbers represent a sharp decline from earlier periods. The ETFs have lost over $3 billion in inflows since November. This compares poorly to earlier months when demand was much stronger.
In May, the funds added $5.2 billion. June saw $4.6 billion in inflows, while July recorded $6.02 billion. The current pace of inflows is well below these levels.
Corporate Bitcoin Buying Slows Down
Fewer companies are adopting Bitcoin treasury strategies. According to CryptoQuant data, only 9 companies announced plans to add BTC to their treasury this quarter.
Bitcoin Treasury Growth is losing momentum.
117 new companies added BTC to their treasuries in 2025, but the pace is slowing.
Let's dive into it
pic.twitter.com/6yAClIwFb1
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) December 11, 2025
This marks an 83% drop from the 53 companies that made similar announcements in Q3. Even existing treasury companies have slowed their buying activity.
Strategy purchased $900 million worth of Bitcoin last week. American Bitcoin also added to its holdings this week. However, these purchases are outliers in the current environment.
Other major corporate holders like Mara and Metaplanet have paused their buying programs. Some analysts worry that certain treasury companies may start selling as their net asset values decline.
Analysts point to the first key support level at $87,500. A break below this level could push Bitcoin down to $80,637, representing an 11% decline from current prices. Popular analyst Ted Pilows has predicted a potential drop to $75,000, matching April’s low.
The bearish outlook WOULD become invalid only if Bitcoin breaks above $100,000, which aligns with a major support and resistance pivot point.
