Cardano (ADA) Rally Alert: Whales Gobble Up Discounts as Market Rebound Gains Momentum

Smart money's betting big on ADA's comeback—while retail investors still panic-sell into paper hands.

Whales dive deep as Cardano finds footing

The crypto's proving its resilience again, with major holders accumulating at what might be the local bottom. Meanwhile, traditional finance still can't decide if blockchain is 'the future' or just a spreadsheet with extra steps.

Recovery pattern or dead cat bounce? The chain's fundamentals suggest this isn't just another fakeout. Active addresses are climbing, staking yields remain juicy, and that Vasil upgrade isn't looking so 'overhyped' now.

One thing's certain: when institutions start buying, the little guys always miss the boat. Will ADA's third-generation blockchain finally get its day—or is this just another pump before the suits dump?

TLDR

• Whales have accumulated 160 million ADA tokens over recent days, taking advantage of lower prices and signaling growing confidence in Cardano’s future.
• Technical indicators show a bullish crossover with the MACD and RSI pointing upward, suggesting fading bearish momentum and potential for a recovery rally.
• Cardano’s social dominance jumped from 0.18% to 1.29%, the highest level since late September, reflecting increased investor interest and community engagement.
• Analysts predict ADA could reach a $300 billion market cap by 2026, driven by privacy features, scalable infrastructure, and an expanding technology stack.
• Price found strong support at $0.49 and has recovered 11%, with potential to climb toward the next resistance level at $0.70 if momentum continues.

Cardano price is showing signs of recovery after weeks of downward pressure. The cryptocurrency found support around $0.49 last week and has since climbed above $0.59. This represents an 11% gain from recent lows.

Data from Santiment reveals that large holders are actively buying during the dip. Whales holding between 1 million and 10 million ADA tokens, along with those holding 10 million to 100 million tokens, have accumulated a total of 160 million ADA over the past few days. This buying activity occurred as prices dropped to more attractive levels.

The whale accumulation trend suggests that large investors see value at current prices. When whales buy during downturns, it often indicates confidence in future price appreciation. These investors typically have access to more information and resources than retail traders.

Fresh wallet data from Nansen adds to the positive outlook. The data shows that 0.34% of ADA’s supply is now held by new wallets. This metric points to growing interest from investors who are entering the Cardano ecosystem for the first time.

Social dominance metrics paint a similar picture. Cardano’s share of cryptocurrency discussions across social media jumped from 0.18% on Saturday to 1.29% on Monday. This represents the highest level of social engagement since the end of September.

The rise in social dominance reflects renewed attention from the crypto community. When a cryptocurrency generates more discussion, it often precedes increased trading activity and price movement.

Technical Indicators Turn Positive

The Relative Strength Index on the daily chart currently sits at 43 and is pointing upward toward the neutral 50 level. This movement suggests that bearish momentum is weakening. For a sustained rally to develop, the RSI needs to cross above 50.

$ADA pushing to trigger the bullish reversal on the local downtrend resistance 👀 pic.twitter.com/RzQyjvLlpE

— Rand (@cryptorand) November 10, 2025

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence showed a bullish crossover on Sunday. This technical signal indicates the start of potential upward momentum. The MACD is a widely watched indicator that helps traders identify trend changes.

If the recovery continues, cardano could test the next resistance level at $0.70. This would represent another 18% gain from current levels. Breaking through this resistance could open the door to further upside.

CryptoQuant data supports the bullish case. The platform’s summary shows large whale orders in both spot and futures markets. Conditions appear to be cooling after recent volatility, with buy dominance suggesting more buyers than sellers.

Long-Term Price Targets

Analysts are looking beyond the short term. Wolf of Crypto identified a possible macro breakout in Cardano’s market dominance chart. The pattern shows two confirmed lows, labeled as 2025 Bottom 1 and Bottom 2. This structure resembles a classic Elliott Wave base that preceded the 2020-2021 bull run.

$ADA Market Dominance Outlook

Cardano remains undervalued relative to the broader market.

After years of underperformance, ADA looks ready to reclaim its dominance — similar to the explosive recovery in 2020–2021.

If history rhymes, ADA could enter a strong macro uptrend… pic.twitter.com/ie7FzDyXdb

— Wolf of Crypto (@WolfsterCrypto) November 8, 2025

According to this analysis, Cardano’s market dominance could climb toward 3.5% to 4% by 2026. If this scenario plays out, it WOULD represent a substantial increase from current levels.

Another analyst, Lucid, pointed to Cardano’s expanding technology stack as a catalyst for growth. The network has been adding privacy features, improving scalability, and enhancing security. With 2026 potentially becoming a “privacy-dominant cycle,” these upgrades could attract more users and developers.

A $300 billion market cap target has been discussed by some analysts. While this represents a massive increase from today’s valuation, it’s based on Cardano’s technical improvements and growing adoption.

External Factors Could Play a Role

Two potential catalysts outside of Cardano’s control could impact price. The first is the resolution of any U.S. government shutdown. Historical data from 2019 shows that markets rallied after a similar event ended. The crypto market could follow broader financial markets if this pattern repeats.

The second factor involves potential stimulus payments. If $2,000 checks are issued from tariff revenue, this could bring retail investors back to crypto. New money entering the market tends to lift prices across the board.

On-chain metrics continue to show healthy network activity. The combination of whale buying, new wallet creation, and improved technical indicators suggests the current recovery has support behind it. If ADA loses the $0.49 support level, it could face further downside.