The Analyst Who Called XRP’s $1.88 Crash Now Eyes a $5.85 Surge

One voice in the crypto wilderness just got a lot louder. After accurately predicting a brutal descent to $1.88, a prominent market watcher is now charting a course for a staggering rally—targeting a $5.85 horizon for XRP.

The Setup: From Crash to Catalyst

The call wasn't a fluke. The analyst's previous forecast, which nailed a specific and painful downturn, built a rare commodity in crypto: credibility. Now, that track record is being leveraged to map a potential recovery arc of epic proportions, suggesting the recent lows may have been a necessary reset.

The Math Behind the Move

Forget vague moon-shot predictions. The new target is precise, derived from historical volatility patterns and key Fibonacci extension levels. It paints a picture of a market that has absorbed its shock and is now primed for a counter-trend move, with specific technical milestones acting as stepping stones toward that ambitious $5.85 figure.

Why This Time Could Be Different

Market sentiment often swings on a dime, and a credible bear can become the most persuasive bull. The argument hinges on oversold conditions, potential regulatory clarity on the horizon, and a broader market cycle that typically rewards assets after a severe cleansing. It's a classic 'blood in the streets' investment thesis, dressed in crypto charts.

The Fine Print and the Folly

Let's be real—targets are just educated guesses, and the crypto market has a PhD in humbling experts. This forecast requires a perfect storm of bullish macro factors and a resolution to XRP's unique legal overhang. It’s a high-conviction play in a sector where conviction gets liquidated daily. After all, in traditional finance, this would be called speculation; here, we call it 'technical analysis.'

The bottom line? One analyst is betting that the same asset they saw crash is now poised to soar. It's a stark reminder that in crypto, the most compelling narratives are often written by those who just called the last plot twist correctly.

XRP Price Target And Wave Analysis During Extreme Market Volatility

The XRP crash forecast from Dark Defender proved accurate throughout 2025, with Wave A completing NEAR $1.60 back in April, and then Wave B climbing toward $3.66 in July. The final corrective leg, which is Wave C, reached the $1.88 level and confirmed the bottom of the monthly Wave 4 structure. This systematic approach to XRP wave analysis shows how Elliott Wave principles can provide some clarity even when volatility is extreme.

Dark Defender stated on X:

People who say the bear market has started will switch and can't believe the market behaviour shortly after BTC.D lose strength, and the narrative will continue to shift in favour of #XRP.

We have been literally following the Wave 4 since 13 February.

We set $1.88, and XRP… https://t.co/SpQzMtQXn7

The analyst emphasized that emotional discipline is what actually separates structured traders from those who react impulsively to every price swing. Using Fibonacci retracement levels, Dark Defender noted that the Wave 4 pullback aligned with the 70.2% Fibonacci level, along with the trading zone between $2.2222 and $1.8815 serving as a reliable framework for both accumulation phases and correction phases.

Historical Precision In Wave Forecasting

His xrp price prediction methodology has been consistent, and he previously identified Fibonacci target levels including $5.85 as an important milestone. The new XRP price target of $5.85 represents a significant gain that’s based on historical wave behavior and structural analysis, not just short-term speculation or hype. Dark Defender’s analysis projects this as the next wave advance for the XRP price target, though timing may vary depending on market conditions.

Dark Defender also stated:

Long-Term Outlook And Strategic Positioning

Dark Defender’s XRP technical analysis indicates that the token has gone through the corrective stage and will now rise in the next wave. The wave analysis model that he has developed shows how institutional adoption and liquidity improvements will drive gradual upward momentum. This view takes a wider approach to understanding how XRP behaves as part of systematic trends rather than following temporary sentiment changes that news outlets discuss.

Since February 2025, Dark Defender has been monitoring the progress of Wave 4 with a distinct hierarchical organization during the correction period. The analyst had on numerous occasions cautioned the market players to ignore fear-based stories in the process. He revealed that an increased degree of uncertainty and negative mood tends to arise during corrective phases, even in those cases when larger technical structures are in place and in good condition.