XRP Price Analysis: From $3 to Potential $36 With Historic Cup Breakout

XRP just shattered a multi-year resistance pattern—and the charts are screaming bullish.

Breaking the Mold

That cup-and-handle formation everyone's been watching? It finally gave way. We're looking at a clean breakout from the $3 level, which historically acted as a stubborn ceiling. Technical indicators align: RSI isn't overbought yet, volume confirms the move, and the weekly close above $3 sets a new foundation.

The Math Behind the Move

Traditional measuring techniques for this pattern suggest a projected target near $36. That's not moon math—it's based on the depth of the cup's formation and the subsequent breakout momentum. Fibonacci extensions from prior swings also cluster around that zone, adding confluence.

Market Mechanics at Play

No catalyst? No problem. Sometimes charts just do their thing—while traditional finance still tries to price in last quarter's earnings. Liquidity pools above $4 are thin, which could accelerate moves upward once stops get triggered. Shorts look increasingly vulnerable above $3.20.

Risks Remain Real

Not saying it's a straight line north. Any close back below $2.80 invalidates the breakout thesis. Macro crypto shifts or regulatory noise could always throw a wrench in the works—because nothing says 'efficient market' like a tweet from a politician moving billions.

Bottom line: The setup's clean, the target's ambitious, and the market's voting with its wallet. Time to see if the pattern holds—or if it's just another fakeout getting fund managers excited before the rug pull.

• XRP trades at $3.02 after recovering from September lows.
• Chart analysis points to a potential path toward $36 in the coming quarters.
• A decade-long structure shift signals the start of a major uptrend.

XRP has been testing its resilience in recent months. After reaching $3.66 in July 2025, the coin slipped to $2.70 on September 1. Buyers immediately returned to the market, taking it back above $3.00. At the current press time, the token is trading at $3.02 with market players waiting to see where it will go next.

Dark Defender, a chartist who has a community following, thinks XRP’s current pattren is similar to what he believes to be the “flight of the phoenix.”

He thinks in his analysis that the token is probing a crucial level again for a potential massive surge. He felt a complete “cup pattern” formed by monitoring the long-term chart WOULD take XRP to $36.

XRP Historical Patterns Support Bold Projection

Chart analysis by a defender aligns XRP’s price history into two long cup-like patterns. The first one, from 2013 to 2017, ended with a sharp surge once the resistance was eliminated. The second one, from 2018 to 2025, has itself just broken free from an eight-year bear trend.

The chart suggests that the token has moved out of distribution into expansion on a quarterly horizon. On a closing basis, for the first time in years, the lower trend line that capped rallies since 2018 has been broken.

After the breakout, XRP corrected back into the same region, which is acting as support currently. Such a “break and retest” chart pattern is typically related to sustainable changes in trends.

It pinpoints major upside objectives: $5.86 as a starting level, $18.23 as a possible mid-stage objective, and $36.77 as a final extension should momentum be maintained. These levels represent Fibonacci goals commonly applied with technical trading.

Faster Path Points Toward $10–$18 in Coming Quarters

Even if things appear to be good, threats remain. A close below the $1.00 to $1.70 level would weaken the bull’s stand. Abandoning the long-term chart’s parabolic support curve would also be an exhaustion signal.

Baseline scenario suggests that XRP could consolidate within the $3 to $4 area before expanding to $6. A faster pathway could take the coin to $10 to $18 region within the next quarters. High-end goal $36 is seen as viable only if momentum is continuous and liquidity increases dramatically.

As seen with September’s trading showing resilience, investors currently wait for the final quarter of 2025 to see if XRP begins its much-anticipated phoenix rise.