HBAR Primed for $0.1616 Breakout as Open Interest Surges – Is the Sideways Grind Over?
Hedera's native token HBAR is flashing bullish signals as open interest climbs—traders are betting big on a breakout above $0.1616.
The Setup:
After weeks of consolidation, HBAR's price action is coiling like a spring. Derivatives markets are heating up, with OI spikes hinting at pent-up demand.
The Target:
A clean break past $0.1616 could trigger algorithmic buying and FOMO inflows. But watch the liquidation clusters—crypto's 'smart money' loves to trap overleveraged retail.
The Wildcard:
Macro volatility remains the party crasher. As one hedge fund manager quipped, 'In crypto, TA works until the Fed decides it doesn't.'
- HBAR is showing signs of bullish momentum after months of consolidation between $0.11 and $0.15.
- Open interest has climbed to 11.89 million contracts, reflecting renewed trader participation.
- Trading volume has increased in late Q2 2025, suggesting active accumulation.
- A breakout above the $0.1616 resistance could open the door to the $0.18–$0.20 range.
Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) is also showing bullish strength after a long downtrend. The cryptocurrency, which had previously traded above $0.45, has, for a period of some months, traded between the levels of $0.11 and $0.15. However, rising technical signals, accompanied by an abrupt spike through open interest and by trading volume, are marking the increasing likelihood of a trend reversal.
HBAR Derivatives Signal Growing Trader Confidence
In the first week of February 2024, HBAR also saw a significant rise in speculative action. Open interest reached above 452 million contracts, an indicator of increased participation by traders. The rise accompanied a healthy attempt at a rally, although the movement proved unsustainable.
More recently, open interest has also increased, the most recent figure remaining about 11.89 million contracts, significantly higher from the year’s low levels. This is an indicator of new position accumulation and growing interest by derivatives traders.
At the same time, trading activity has also improved. Towards the end of Q2 2025, the daily volume of HBAR jumped along with volatility over price, signifying intensive accumulation.
Crossovers of high volume, especially those occurring during reversals, are indications that purchasers are entering the fray with confidence. Lacking the top level, the volume is, nonetheless, high when compared with middle 2024, supporting the argument of rising activity.
HBAR Eyes Breakout Above $0.1616 Resistance
Technically, the 4-hour chart has the HBAR priced at $0.1478, just above the 9-day and 20-day moving averages. It has a near-term resistance point at the 200-day SMA at $0.1616, a significant level that had capped previous rallies. A confirmed break above the level WOULD likely set up the way up to the $0.18 to $0.20 range.
Momentum indicators are positive also. Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 53.79, back from earlier lows and marking moderate strength towards the positive side. MACD also has turned positive with a slight bullish crossover. Though the signal is not very strong, it is a reversal of sentiment from bearish back towards cautious optimism.
HBAR’s setup depicts a transitioning market, from accumulation to potential breakout. The rising volume and open interest also validate the tale of increasing trader sentiment. If the price succeeds in closing above the key resistance level of $0.1616 with volume remaining sustained, then a new phase of bull can emerge.
For the time being, support is at $0.146 and $0.142, and a breakout above $0.15–$0.16 would probably seal the prospective direction of the trend. Both spot and derivatives indicators are exhibiting fresh action, and the HBAR might be preparing for a bigger MOVE next few weeks.
