TON Price Outlook: $15 Target in Sight, Key Levels and Technicals Explained

TON's chart is flashing a signal traders haven't seen in months. The path to $15 just got a lot clearer.

The Setup: Breaking the Ceiling

For weeks, a stubborn resistance level held TON in check. That ceiling just shattered. The breakout wasn't a gentle nudge—it was a decisive move on high volume, the kind that shifts market psychology from 'if' to 'when.'

Key Levels to Watch Now

With the old resistance broken, it now becomes critical support. A hold above this zone is non-negotiable for the bullish thesis. The next immediate hurdle sits at a previously congested area; a clean break there opens the door wide for a run toward the $15 target. On the flip side, a failure to hold support would signal a false breakout—a classic 'bull trap' that sends traders scrambling for the exits.

The Technicals Behind the Move

Momentum indicators have pivoted from neutral to outright bullish. The move has also triggered a key pattern recognition on longer timeframes, suggesting this isn't just a short-term blip. Of course, in crypto, a 'confirmed pattern' is just a pretty drawing until the market decides to rip it up—usually right after you've placed your trade.

The stage is set. The $15 target is in sight, but as any seasoned crypto veteran knows, the market loves nothing more than proving the majority wrong. Time to see if the charts hold their nerve.

Toncoin Technical Outlook and Key Price Levels

The token has been trending upward since mid-2022, reaching its peak around $15 in mid-2024. After a sharp correction of about 82.66%, the price dropped to $1.616. The uptrend line broke in late 2025, and a descending triangle formed, showing bearish pressure. The price recently hit strong support between $1.40 and $1.60, which is holding for now.

The $1.40–$1.60 zone acts as key support where buyers have stepped in before. Breaking below this could push the price lower. Resistance levels are at $3.55, $6.87, and $15. Weekly candles show buyers pushing back at support. A breakout above the descending trendline could confirm a reversal, opening the path to $3.55, $6.87, and ultimately $15.

If the token reverses at the support level, it will be able to reach around 936% to $15. But if the $1.40-$1.60 support level is broken, it may face deeper drops, without specific levels defined. Traders need to patiently wait for confirmation. This is because the bearish trend will keep going, but a strong turnaround is also possible.

On-Chain Revenue and Ecosystem Growth

According to the data from DeFiLlama, the token is ranked at the #2 level for the revenue that on-chain applications have reportedly generated within the last 24 hours. It has managed to surpass Hyperliquid and Ethereum.

The network continues to reduce the gap with Solana, and the momentum it demonstrates in terms of transaction volume and growth cannot go unnoticed. This is because the growth of TON is a clear indication that the token is emerging as a major force when it comes to on-chain revenue.