XRP Price Projection: Could Burns Create Bitcoin-Style Scarcity?

Forget halvings—XRP's burn mechanism might just rewrite crypto's scarcity playbook.

The Digital Scarcity Experiment

While Bitcoin's programmed halvings dominate scarcity narratives, XRP's token burns present a radically different approach to value preservation. Each transaction destroys a fraction of XRP, creating deflationary pressure that compounds with network activity.

Market Mechanics Unleashed

Unlike Bitcoin's predictable supply schedule, XRP's burn rate ties directly to usage—more transactions mean faster burns. This creates an organic scarcity model that responds to actual network demand rather than arbitrary calendar events.

The Price Catalyst Question

If adoption accelerates, the burn rate could theoretically outpace Bitcoin's halving effects. We've seen how reduced supply impacts markets—but can organic burns match programmed scarcity? Traditional finance would call this reckless speculation; crypto calls it Tuesday.

Scarcity isn't manufactured—it's earned through fire.

Conservative XRP price prediction Google GeminiConservative XRP Price Prediction | Google Gemini However, Gemini explained that this scenario represents the most cautious outcome since it assumes demand stays flat and only supply changes. The chatbot pointed out that Bitcoin's halvings typically do far more than simply double the price. Specifically, each event has triggered fresh demand and speculation, often pushing Bitcoin's market value two to four times higher within a year. Gemini used this history as a guide to present a more optimistic case for XRP. If the market cap grew 2.5 times to about $455 billion and the supply halves, the price could reach around $15.30. According to Gemini, this figure is still conservative compared to Bitcoin's explosive post-halving rallies.

Bullish xrp price Prediction Google GeminiBullish XRP Price Prediction | Google Gemini Nonetheless, Gemini stressed that such a system is very unlikely for XRP. Unlike Bitcoin, XRP does not rely on mining or new coin issuance. The entire 100 billion supply already exists, with Ripple holding a large share in escrow and releasing it in a steady, predictable schedule. 

Disclaimer from GeminiDisclaimer from Gemini The current burn feature plays a practical role in protecting the network rather than serving as a price booster. For XRPL to adopt halving events, developers WOULD need to change the core design of the system completely, something Gemini said is highly improbable.