Cardano's gearing up for another bull run—but this cycle's playing by different rules. If historical patterns hold, ADA could see a 50% smaller price explosion than its last parabolic rally. Here's what that means for traders.
Diminished returns or disciplined growth? The crypto crowd's split. Some see shrinking gains as a worrying trend; others argue it signals market maturity. One thing's certain: Cardano's not following the script from its 2021 glory days.
Meanwhile, traditional finance analysts are clutching their pearls—as if predictable 10% annual returns from legacy assets are something to brag about. At least crypto keeps things interesting.

Cardano Analysis/Ali Martinez
The upper resistance of the price range is slightly above the 0.382 Fibonacci at $0.094, the mid-range is around $0.051, and the lower support is at $0.027. After the short-lived dump to $0.018, ADA regained bullish momentum, breaking above the range to new highs. The momentum continued to its current all-time high.
Meanwhile, Martinez identified a similar price development in Cardano’s recent price action. After the 2021 high, ADA retraced considerably to enter another range identical to that seen between 2018 and 2020.
The support at $0.24 served as the lower boundary, the 0.336 Fibonacci level at $0.431 as the mid-range, and $0.81 as the upper resistance. Notably, ADA has been ranging within this channel since early 2022 but saw an unsustainable breakout with the rally to $1.32 in December 2024 before falling back in.
Analyst Predicts the Price of ADA Even at a 50% Pump
Deezy quoted Martinez’s post on Friday and predicted the price of
cardano if it rallies 50% less than it did from this point in the previous market. An accompanying chart shows that ADA rallied by 3,031% from the upper boundary of last cycle’s range to an ascending trendline, adding $2.82 to its price to culminate in its current all-time high of $3.16.

Cardano Analysis/Deezy
Interestingly, the analyst noted that it
WOULD still be a bullish scenario for ADA if it mirrors even 50% of the price growth from this point in the previous cycle. Specifically, the chart shows that ADA would rally by 1,475%, adding $9.54 to its current price of $0.718. This could result in a new all-time high of $10.25.
Remarkably, this projection aligns with the price outlook from Ssebi and Cardano permabull Dan Gambardello.