Cardano’s $3 Rally Looms as Treasury Smashes 1.8B ADA Benchmark
Cardano’s treasury just crossed a jaw-dropping 1.8 billion ADA—fueling speculation of a price surge toward $3. Here’s why the smart money’s paying attention.
The milestone: A treasury flush with 1.8B ADA isn’t just impressive—it’s rocket fuel for development and adoption. Expect ecosystem grants, protocol upgrades, and yes, that sweet price momentum.
Market mechanics: When projects actually fund their roadmaps instead of vaporware promises (looking at you, meme coins), investors tend to notice. ADA’s recent consolidation suggests whales are accumulating before the next leg up.
The cynical take: Of course, some hedge fund manager will call this ‘undervalued’ right before dumping bags on retail. Welcome to crypto.
Key Insights:
- Cardano price eyes rally as the treasury surpassed 1.8B ADA, becoming the top self-governed crypto treasury.
- ADA/BTC pair sits near 7-year lows, signaling historical altcoin bottoming conditions.
- The analyst projects over 383% upside in case the current bull fractal repeats the 2021 breakout.
Cardano price moved close to the $0.58 level as analysts focused on the potential of a bullish reversal. Sentiment on ADA changed after its on-chain treasury exceeded 1.8 billion ADA, and experts forecast a 383% breakout to $3.
Meanwhile, the BTC pair of ADA was trading close to historic lows, continuing to fuel long-term bottom speculation.
Cardano Treasury Reached Record 1.8 Billion ADA
The Cardano treasury balance crossed 1.8 billion ADA, marking a historic milestone for decentralized finance. According to TapTools, this achievement made Cardano the largest self-governed token treasury globally.
The growth implied confidence in the ecosystem and stable use of the network, even when the markets were on a wider pullback.
The development and participation in governance have always coincided with the growth of the Treasury. The increase in ADA reserves was based on improved staking activity and generated fees by the protocol.
Consequently, this indicator was a key anchor for Cardano price movements during recent swings. As investor focus returned to utility-based chains, Cardano’s governance model gained renewed attention.
Analyst Projected Cardano Price 383% Rally
As Javon Marks indicated, Cardano had a market form that looked similar to previous cycles that resulted in explosive gains. The analyst posted a long-term fractal chart, indicating that ADA price had already been done with a series of corrective waves and could be gearing up to break out in multi-legs.
Notably, the projected cardano price target is above $3, and this represents a +383% increase in the current levels.
Three higher lows were visible, and a right-shoulder breakout formation confirmed the pattern. JavonTM1 believed that the asset was coming out of the last pullback stage, which is characterized by accumulation before the complete market recovery.
ADA price previously showed similar formations before its 2021 rally from $0.10 to over $3.00. Should the bullish fractal be played out, this WOULD indicate that a previous macro bottom has been established already towards the end of Q2 2025.
ADA/BTC Valuation Showed Long-Term Bottom Range
Despite the bullish sentiment in USD terms, ADA/BTC continued to trade NEAR its historic low. According to IntoTheCryptoverse, the ADA/BTC pair stood at 0.00000538, down over 75% from its peak.
On the Long-term log chart, the two had created a long accumulation base, a development that dated back to the end of 2023.
This divergence between USD and BTC valuations suggested that ADA had underperformed Bitcoin for an extended period. These circumstances had, however, acted as cycle bottoms on altcoins in the past.
If ADA/BTC rebounded, it would validate the USD-based breakout scenario. Altcoin rallies against bitcoin have historically occurred after significant drawdowns in the BTC pair. ADA’s current BTC valuation, paired with rising on-chain metrics, sets the stage for a rally in the next leg.
Drawdown Chart Confirms ADA Price Was 80% Below ATH
Furthermore, IntoTheCryptoverse also shared a drawdown chart showing ADA price remained 80.37% below its all-time high. Though this number portrayed severe losses since 2021, it was in line with earlier recovery areas.
During the previous cycle, cardano price registered similar drawdown percentages before surging 25x from bottom to peak.
This chart showed a wide red cluster that denoted the reference price distance to the all-time high. In past cycles, similar compression phases preceded extended upside. If ADA price followed its historical trajectory, the token could revisit $2.00 to $3.00 levels over the next 12–18 months.
Recent position in the drawdown area was indicative of the construction and lower downside exposure, especially when it was accompanied by higher treasury levels.
Derivatives Trends Signal Traders’ Positioning for Upside
CoinGlass data showed rising speculative activity as volume surged 40.8% to $1.20 billion. Although there was a marginal decrease in open interest by 2.3% to $804.86 million, the leading traders on Binance recorded a bullish 3.0634 long-to-short ratio.
The 24-hour liquidation data indicated $657.71K long positions that were liquidated, which indicated strong leverage at the time the bulls still held overall positioning.
Moreover, open interest-weighted funding rate was positive in other critical periods implying that traders were always paying to be long.
This aligned with ADA price holding above $0.57 support, reinforcing bullish setups proposed by analysts forecasting a 383% upside.
With ADA’s treasury now exceeding 1.8 billion tokens, derivatives sentiment and ecosystem fundamentals appear aligned for a sustained upward breakout.
