BTC’s Bullish Comeback: MVRV Indicator Signals Strong Rebound Ahead
Bitcoin's price resilience isn't just hopium—the MVRV metric flashes a rare buy signal.
The Lazarus Metric
Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) just punched through a key threshold, historically preceding major rallies. Forget diamond hands—this is algorithmic validation.
Wall Street’s FOMO Trigger
When BTC’s on-chain data screams ‘undervalued,’ even hedgies pause their yacht purchases. The last three MVRV crossovers delivered 200%+ returns within months.
Cynic’s Corner
Sure, traditional finance will call this voodoo—right before quietly allocating 3% of their pension funds to ‘digital gold.’

Key Insights:
- Bitcoin (BTC) price’s MVRV bounced off its 365-day Simple Moving Average, hinting at a possible price rally.
- Elon Musk’s new American Party is on track to incorporate BTC into its platform.
- Analysts are optimistic about BTC price’s future price trajectory, with predictions as high as $600,000
Bitcoin (BTC) price has shown signs of a potential price rebound, based on positive on-chain metrics. Specifically, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator demonstrated a strong bullish performance.
The leading coin has also recently gained renewed attention following its acceptance and validation by Tesla CEO Elon Musk.
The Bitcoin MVRV Data
Data analytics provider CryptoQuant highlighted a key on-chain metric that provided insight into the BTC market.
According to CryptoQuant, the Bitcoin MVRV score recently bounced off its 365-day Simple Moving Average (SMA365).
Notably, the MVRV ratio compares the current BTC price to the average price at which all coins were last moved on the blockchain.
Essentially, it measures whether bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical cost basis.
On the other hand, the 365-day SMA of the MVRV ratio is a long-term average of this metric. It is often used as a benchmark to assess whether the current MVRV is above or below its historical trend.
Historically, an uptrend tends to persist as long as the BTC MVRV remains above its 365-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Based on this trend, analysts are optimistic that Bitcoin will continue to rally higher in the current cycle.
During previous bullish cycles, the 365-day SMA acted as a key support level. Thus, when the MVRV ratio drops to this level and rebounds, it suggests that the market has bottomed and is regaining bullish momentum.
On the flip side, if the MVRV fails to hold above this level, it could indicate weakening momentum and potential downside risk.
Elon Musk Adds to Bullish BTC Price Expectations
In an X post, SatoshiActFund co-founder Dennis Porter expressed excitement about Bitcoin becoming part of Elon Musk’s newly formed “America Party.”
He highlighted a post where Musk stated that he WOULD support the flagship coin as part of its platform.
“Fiat is hopeless, so yes,” Musk stated in response to a question about whether his American Party will support BTC.
Elon Musk has historically shown interest in cryptocurrencies, notably Bitcoin and Dogecoin (DOGE).
He has made comments critical of fiat currency, which could lend credibility to the latest posts.
Elon Musk’s early backing of BTC is consistent with his strategy of diversifying Tesla’s financials.
Tesla began buying Bitcoin in February 2021. Since then, the firm has accumulated over $1 billion worth of the coin.
The idea of a third political party surfaced amid Musk’s public feud with President Donald TRUMP over his domestic public bill.
Musk criticized the bill because of estimates that it would add trillions of dollars to the federal deficit.
Where’s BTC Price Heading?
Elon Musk’s support for Bitcoin is expected to push the price to unprecedented heights.
As of this writing, BTC price was trading at $109,058, up 0.94% in the past 24 hours. The daily trading volume also surged by over 32% to $39 billion.
If the trading volumes continue to rise and the MVRV ratio remains bullish, BTC could rally higher.
Bitcoin price reclaimed $108,000 last week, leading to expectations of more bullish price outcomes. Analysts projected new cycle highs between $123,000 and $162,000.
They contend that BTC has found renewed institutional interest as the price stabilizes above $105,000.
In a bolder prediction, analyst Fred Krueger forecasted that BTC could reach $600,000 within the next few months.
The analyst based his forecast on economic data and Federal Reserve policies. Besides, the institutional backing of Bitcoin from firms like Strategy Inc. and Metaplanet creates a defined demand source.
In addition to the broader retail embrace of the top coin, institutional and political backing from the GOP and American Party can further help cement its future breakout.