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Bitcoin ETFs See $250M+ Inflows—Is Bitcoin Price Ready for a Breakout?

Bitcoin ETFs See $250M+ Inflows—Is Bitcoin Price Ready for a Breakout?

Published:
2025-03-19 01:27:00
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Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $250 million in net inflows on March 17, the highest since Feb. 4. Despite renewed institutional interest, BTC price remains below $85,000 as traders await the FOMC rate decision.

BTC ETF inflows hit highest level since Feb. 4

Bitcoin’s spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded over $250 million in net inflows on March 17, the largest single-day increase since early February. The surge in institutional demand comes after five consecutive weeks of outflows totaling $5.4 billion, per SoSoValue data.

Source: Farside Investors

Source: Farside Investors

According to Farside Investors, all major Bitcoin ETF issuers reported positive inflows, including Fidelity, BlackRock, and Grayscale. Fidelity’s FBTC led with $127.3 million, followed by ARK Invest’s ARKB at $88.5 million.

BlackRock’s IBIT added $42.3 million, while Grayscale’s GBTC, which had seen persistent outflows in recent weeks, received $14.2 million.

Despite the inflows, Bitcoin’s price remains locked below $85,000, struggling to break through key resistance.

Bitcoin price consolidates ahead of FOMC rate decision

BTC/USD is trading near $83,000 after failing to secure a daily close above $84,600. Since March 12, Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the $85,000 level but has been unable to sustain momentum.

CME’s FedWatchtool interest rate expectations. Source: CME Group

CME’s FedWatchtool interest rate expectations. Source: CME Group

The market is now eyeing the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on March 19, which could trigger increased volatility.

CME’s FedWatch tool shows a 99% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at 4.25%–4.50%, leaving traders to speculate on Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments regarding future policy shifts.

“Crypto markets could see a short-term rally if the Fed signals future rate cuts,” Bitget Research chief analyst Ryan Lee noted. “However, a hawkish stance could reinforce tighter financial conditions, impacting risk assets.”

Traders split between $95K rally or deeper correction

The uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin’s next move has divided analysts. While some see potential for an upside breakout, others warn of a correction toward key support levels.

Source: Lucky/X

Source: Lucky/X

“Everyone is asking me about the next BTC move,” trader Lucky posted on X. “There are two possibilities: a push toward $95K or a dip to $73K.”

Meanwhile, trader Merlijn The Trader pointed to technical weakness, stating that Bitcoin had broken down from a rising wedge formation and could target $78,000 if bulls fail to regain control.

Source: Merlijn The Trader/X

Source: Merlijn The Trader/X

On-chain data suggests institutional investors may be regaining confidence after weeks of hesitation. If ETF inflows continue, Bitcoin could build enough momentum to reclaim its all-time high of $108,786. However, if price action remains sluggish, a retest of $80,000 or lower remains a possibility.

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