Bitcoin Buy-Sell Ratio Plunges to Cycle Low on Binance: Bullish Reversal Incoming?

Binance's buy-sell ratio for Bitcoin just hit its lowest point this cycle—and seasoned traders are leaning in rather than backing out.

What the metrics reveal

The ratio measures buying versus selling pressure. When it dips this hard, it often signals extreme short-term fear. But historically, cycle lows have preceded major bullish reversals. Retail panic meets institutional accumulation—classic crypto behavior.

Why this could be bullish

Low buy-sell ratios typically indicate capitulation. Weak hands sell; strong hands accumulate. If past cycles hold, this could set the stage for the next leg up. Of course, in crypto, even 'sure things' come with a side of volatility—and the occasional rug pull for good measure.

Timing the turnaround

No one rings a bell at the bottom, but data doesn’t lie. Watch for a stabilization in the ratio, followed by a climb. When fear turns to greed, the move can be explosive. Just don’t expect Wall Street to acknowledge it until after the fact—as usual.

What Is the Binance Taker Buy-Sell Ratio?

The taker buy-sell ratio is a derivatives market indicator that measures the balance between aggressive buyers and sellers.

• A value above 1 indicates stronger buying pressure, signaling bullish sentiment.

• A value below 1 suggests sellers dominate, reflecting bearish sentiment and weaker demand.

According to top crypto analyst Darkfost, this ratio is particularly useful because it reveals shifts in trader psychology. Instead of looking at passive orders, the ratio highlights active market participants who are willing to cross the spread to buy or sell.

Currently, the ratio has fallen to 0.95 on Binance, marking its lowest level in this cycle. At face value, this points to heightened bearishness—but history shows these levels often precede strong recoveries.

Why a Low Ratio Can Be Bullish

At first glance, a reading below 1 seems negative. It means that sellers are more aggressive than buyers, which usually accompanies price declines. However, markets are known to MOVE in contrarian cycles, punishing the majority when positioning becomes too one-sided.

When the ratio plunges, it often reflects excessive bearish positioning. That can set the stage for a short squeeze—a situation where bears betting on further downside are forced to cover their positions as price rebounds. This rush of buying can amplify upward moves, turning what looked like weakness into a strong rally.

Darkfost highlights that each time the ratio has reached similarly depressed levels in past cycles, Bitcoin has staged a significant rebound. Whether that pattern holds true this time remains to be seen, but the setup suggests an opportunity may be brewing.

Bitcoin Tests Key Support Levels

At the time of writing, bitcoin is trading at $113,467, just above a critical support zone near the 100-day moving average (MA) around $111,140. This area is seen as pivotal for the market’s short-term trajectory.

The recent pullback began after BTC failed to sustain momentum above $123,217—a key resistance level. Sellers quickly stepped in, creating lower highs and dragging price toward its moving average cluster. Meanwhile, the 50-day SMA NEAR $116,114 has now flipped into resistance, signaling short-term bearish control.

If Bitcoin holds above the $113K–$111K zone, bulls may find a foundation to mount a recovery. A decisive rebound here, combined with the contrarian taker buy-sell ratio, could provide fuel for the next leg higher.

The Broader Market Context

Despite the recent correction, Bitcoin remains firmly in a long-term uptrend. Institutional interest, ETF flows, and macroeconomic factors have underpinned demand throughout 2025. The pullback could therefore be viewed as a cooling-off period after months of relentless gains.

Some analysts argue that the decline is healthy, allowing markets to reset before the next push higher. Others caution that if support fails, a deeper correction could follow, potentially dragging BTC below $110,000.

For now, the derivatives signal suggests that traders have become overly bearish, which often sets the stage for sharp reversals.

What Traders Should Watch Next

The coming days are critical. Key factors to monitor include:

• Support at $113K–$111K: Holding this zone would strengthen the bullish case.

• Rebound strength: A sharp recovery on high volume would confirm the contrarian setup.

• Derivatives positioning: Further declines in the taker buy-sell ratio could signal even greater opportunity.

If Bitcoin can stabilize and break back above resistance levels near $116K and $123K, the path toward new highs may reopen. Conversely, a breakdown below $111K could trigger accelerated selling pressure.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s latest pullback has rattled some investors, but the Binance Taker Buy-Sell Ratio hitting cycle lows could be a key contrarian signal. Historically, such conditions have coincided with rebounds as bearish sentiment reaches extremes.

With BTC trading near critical support, the market is at a decisive juncture. Whether this turns into the for another leg higher or a slide into deeper consolidation will depend on how traders react in the days ahead.