Ethereum’s Price Momentum Stalls as Traders Flee Leverage—What’s Next?

Leverage gets the knife—again. Ethereum's price action wobbles as overextended traders bail, leaving charts flashing caution.

Liquidation Looms Large

Open interest nosedives as ETH bulls retreat from margin positions. No surprise here—crypto's casino economics always punish the greedy first.

Technical Crossroads

The $3K support level becomes make-or-break. Break below? Brace for liquidations. Hold? Another proof that crypto markets love testing diamond hands.

Smart money's playing wait-and-see while degens lurk for the next leverage trap. Some things never change.

Price action under pressure

Ethereum’s price has struggled to gain upward momentum in recent weeks. As of August 13, it was trading around $3,611.90, according to CoinMarketCap. This subdued performance comes after a strong first half of 2025, when Ethereum briefly approached the $4,000 level. Analysts believe that the current environment favors spot-driven price movements rather than aggressive speculative trading in derivatives.

One factor supporting this view is the reduction in Ethereum reserves held by major exchanges. Binance’s August Proof of Reserves revealed a 9.84% drop in its Ethereum holdings compared to the previous month. Lower reserves often indicate that investors are moving assets off exchanges, possibly to hold in personal wallets or stake within the network.

Staking reduces liquid supply

Staking continues to play a major role in Ethereum’s market structure. Over 35 million ETH—approximately 28% of its circulating supply—is now locked in its proof-of-stake (PoS) network. This substantial staking participation reduces the amount of Ethereum available for trading on exchanges, which can help stabilize prices but also limit short-term liquidity.

With such a large percentage of ETH locked up, the spot market has been increasingly influential in determining daily price movements. This could explain why Ethereum’s price has remained relatively steady despite the contraction in leveraged positions.

Shifting trader sentiment

The MOVE away from leverage can be interpreted as a sign of growing caution among traders. While derivatives allow for higher potential returns, they also amplify losses during market downturns. In a climate where macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment are in play, market participants may prefer the relative safety of holding ETH in spot form.

Some traders are also adjusting strategies to account for possible regulatory developments in key markets, including the United States and the European Union. Proposed changes to leverage limits and derivatives trading rules could influence future activity levels.

Broader market trends

Ethereum’s derivatives decline mirrors similar patterns across the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin futures open interest has also seen fluctuations, with periods of contraction in recent months. This suggests that traders across the board are rebalancing portfolios to reduce risk exposure.

In the case of Ethereum, the decline in leveraged holdings coincides with notable on-chain activity. Data shows increased movement of ETH from centralized exchanges to decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, staking contracts, and cold storage wallets. This shift is often associated with long-term holding strategies rather than short-term speculative trading.

Analysts’ outlook

Market analysts are divided on whether the reduction in contract holdings is a bullish or bearish signal. On one hand, less leverage could mean fewer forced liquidations during sharp price swings, which might help stabilize the market. On the other hand, it could also indicate reduced trader confidence in short-term price rallies.

“While lower leverage reduces volatility risk, it also suggests that traders are not expecting immediate explosive moves in Ethereum’s price,” said a derivatives market strategist from a leading crypto research firm. “We could be entering a consolidation phase until new catalysts emerge.”

Potential catalysts could include updates on Ethereum’s scalability improvements, new institutional investment products, or shifts in macroeconomic indicators that affect risk appetite across all asset classes.

Long-term fundamentals intact

Despite the recent contraction in leveraged positions, Ethereum’s long-term fundamentals remain strong. The network continues to dominate the smart contract space, with thriving ecosystems in decentralized finance, NFTs, and layer-2 scaling solutions. Transaction volumes and developer activity remain robust, suggesting continued confidence in Ethereum’s role as a leading blockchain platform.

Staking rewards and the ongoing deflationary pressure introduced by Ethereum’s EIP-1559 burn mechanism add to the bullish long-term narrative. With a significant portion of ETH staked and a steady burn rate, supply-side dynamics could favor price appreciation over time—provided demand remains healthy.

Conclusion

The 10.6% drop in Ethereum contract holdings marks a notable change in market behavior, with traders favoring spot positions over high-leverage bets. While this may reduce short-term volatility, it also reflects a more cautious stance amid uncertain market conditions. With nearly one-third of ETH locked in staking and reserves on exchanges falling, Ethereum’s liquid supply continues to tighten, potentially setting the stage for future price resilience.

Whether this trend continues will depend on upcoming market catalysts, regulatory developments, and broader macroeconomic factors. For now, Ethereum appears to be entering a phase where stability takes precedence over speculative surges—at least in the derivatives market.