XRP Primed for Explosive Rally: $10, $18, or Even $27 in Play After Critical 21 EMA Test

XRP traders are eyeing a potential moonshot as the cryptocurrency retests a key technical level—the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). If history repeats, this could trigger a cascade of bullish momentum.

Three price targets dominate the chatter: $10, $18, and the audacious $27 mark. For context, hitting even the lowest target would require a 10x surge from current levels—because in crypto, ’modest gains’ are for traditional finance folks still waiting on their 2% annual bond yields.

The 21 EMA has historically acted as a launchpad for XRP, separating knee-jerk dips from true trend reversals. This time? The stakes are higher with regulatory clouds parting and institutional money sniffing around the ’bridge asset’ narrative.

Of course, no crypto rally is complete without a reality check. Remember: these are the same charts that once predicted ’$589 XRP by 2021.’ Proceed with rockets—and risk parameters—fully engaged.

Historical EMA Retests Marked Major Bull Runs

EGRAG’s analysis focuses on XRP’s historical performance on the 2-week chart, particularly in relation to the 21 EMA. This indicator has served as a springboard for major rallies in the past.

During the 2017–2018 bull run, XRP struggled to break the 21 EMA until March 2017. Once the breakout occurred, the token surged 7,085%, rising from $0.00555 to $0.3988 in just two months. After a brief consolidation and retest of the 21 EMA, XRP surged again, this time by 1,517%, to reach its all-time high of $3.80 in January 2018.

A similar pattern played out during the 2020–2021 cycle. XRP broke above the 21 EMA in November 2020, rising to $0.79 before retesting the indicator. The retest triggered another rally of 425%, pushing XRP to $1.96 in April 2021.

These patterns reveal a consistent structure: breakout above the 21 EMA, followed by consolidation and a retest, and then a parabolic MOVE upward.

2025 Structure Mirrors Past Bull Cycles

According to EGRAG, XRP is currently replicating this familiar pattern. In November 2024, the token broke above the 21 EMA, rallying from $0.50 to a local peak of $3.40 by January 2025. After encountering resistance, the price entered a consolidation phase—just as it did in previous cycles.

As of early June, XRP has pulled back to retest the 21 EMA once again, setting the stage for a potential third wave of upward movement. EGRAG views this retest as a bullish signal, similar to the ones that preceded explosive moves in 2017 and 2021.

Price Targets: $10, $18, and $27

Based on the size of previous rallies, EGRAG has outlined three major price targets:

• $10 – This level would mark a 425% gain from the current price and mirror the percentage move seen in 2021 following the 21 EMA retest.

• $18 – A 1,000% increase from current levels, resembling a more extended breakout.

• $27 – A full-blown rally of over 1,600%, representing the new all-time high EGRAG has long predicted.

Each of these levels aligns with historical price behavior and fits into EGRAG’s broader cycle theory.

Timeline to Watch: July–August 2025

If history continues to repeat, XRP could reach its next peak within 8 to 10 weeks following the recent EMA retest. In 2017, it took 8 weeks for XRP to reach its all-time high after the retest; in 2021, it took 10 weeks.

Applying this timeline to the current structure suggests a potential peak between.