Ripple Analysis: XRP Trend Signals Lower Highs and Lows – Key Insights for Traders in 2025
- What’s the Current Price Action of Ripple (XRP)?
- Are Lower Highs and Lows Confirming a Downtrend?
- Is the MACD Hinting at a Bullish Reversal?
- How Reliable Is the RSI in This Market?
- Why Is the $2.36 Support Level Critical?
- What Trading Strategies Make Sense Now?
- Could Snorter’s Trading Bot Offer an Edge?
- Final Verdict: Bears Control the Narrative
Ripple (XRP) is currently exhibiting a bearish short-to-medium-term trend with lower highs and lows, though isolated bullish signals persist. The cryptocurrency trades below all key SMAs, with the RSI deep in negative territory. A breakdown below the trend channel support at $2.36 could trigger further declines. While the MACD hints at a potential bullish crossover, its reliability remains questionable. This analysis dives into XRP’s price action, technical indicators, and trading strategies amid a volatile market.
What’s the Current Price Action of Ripple (XRP)?
Ripple (XRP) has shown slight upward movement since last weekend, currently hovering around $2.40. Over the past week, XRP climbed from $2.29 to a local high of $2.49 before correcting to $2.36. Today’s minor recovery brings it back to $2.40, but the broader trend remains uncertain. The BTCC team notes that this price action forms a potential descending channel, signaling caution for traders.
Are Lower Highs and Lows Confirming a Downtrend?
XRP’s recent price movements suggest a pattern of lower highs ($2.60 → $2.49) and lower lows, typically indicative of a bearish trend. The formation of a descending channel—though still early—warrants close monitoring. Historical data from TradingView shows similar patterns preceding extended downturns. For context, XRP’s January 2025 high of $3.28 and July peak of $3.62 now contrast sharply with October’s slump to $2.34.

Is the MACD Hinting at a Bullish Reversal?
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a potential bullish crossover, with the signal line approaching the MACD line from below. While this might suggest upward momentum, the BTCC team cautions that MACD is a lagging indicator—often unreliable for short-term trades. In my experience, such crossovers during strong downtrends frequently result in "bull traps."
How Reliable Is the RSI in This Market?
XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 39, with its 14-day average at 35.3—both firmly in bearish territory. CoinMarketCap data reveals that RSI readings below 40 have preceded drops of 15-20% in past cycles. Combined with XRP trading below all major SMAs (200-day: $2.60, 50-day: $2.79, 100-day: $2.94), the momentum clearly favors sellers.

Why Is the $2.36 Support Level Critical?
The long-term trend channel’s lower boundary at $2.36 acts as crucial support. A breakdown here WOULD mark the second test of this level post-crash, potentially accelerating sell-offs. Historical support levels from November 2024 ($1.38), April 2025 ($1.78), and June 2025 ($2.01) suggest that losing $2.36 could open the door to $1.78.
What Trading Strategies Make Sense Now?
Given the conflicting signals—bearish structure vs. potential MACD crossover—the BTCC team recommends:
- For short-term traders: Wait for a confirmed break above $2.49 or below $2.36 before entering positions.
- For long-term holders: Dollar-cost averaging during extreme RSI dips (below 30) has historically yielded 6-month returns of 40-60%.
This article does not constitute investment advice.
Could Snorter’s Trading Bot Offer an Edge?
Amid XRP’s volatility, projects like Snorter’s Telegram-based trading bot (powered by SNORT tokens) are gaining traction. With features like slippage control and 0.85% fees for token holders, it’s attracted $4M+ in presale funding. Audited by SolidProof, SNORT exemplifies the meme-utility hybrid trend—though always DYOR (do your own research).
Final Verdict: Bears Control the Narrative
Lower highs/lows, weak RSI, and vulnerable support paint a bearish picture for XRP. While the MACD teases reversal potential, traders should prioritize risk management. As always in crypto, prepare for both scenarios—just don’t marry your biases.