AAVE Smashes Past $320 Barrier as TVL Metric Reveals Bullish Divergence — What’s the Next Target?
AAVE just blasted through the $320 resistance level—and this time, it's got the fundamentals to back it up.
Total Value Locked flashing bullish signals while price plays catch-up? That's not just hopium—it's the kind of divergence that makes traders double-check their short positions.
Where's it heading next? The charts are whispering about higher highs, but then again, traditional finance experts are still trying to figure out how to spell 'DeFi' correctly.
Watch those moving averages. If momentum holds, we might just see AAVE testing levels that'll make even Bitcoin maximalists raise an eyebrow.
What Does This Positive Divergence Mean For Aave?
In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, CryptoOnchain shared an interesting on-chain insight into the journey of the Aave price from around $130 in late 2024 to above $340 in the year. According to the crypto analyst, Aave’s Market Cap to Total Value Locked (TVL) ratio concurrently dropped to a two-year low as price rose to the 2025 high.
The MC/TVL ratio, as the name suggests, is an on-chain metric that compares a token’s market capitalization and the total value locked on its underlying protocol. CryptoOnchain noted that this indicator typically surges in tandem with price, except when the TVL metric grows at a rate faster than the market capitalization.
However, the latest drop of the MC/TVL ratio to its lowest level in two years—as price grew—represents a positive divergence, which is likely driven by substantial capital inflows into Aave’s contracts. According to CryptoOnchain, this significant inflow of capital boosts the TVL without the market cap fully reflecting it.
The crypto analyst attributed this situation to relative undervaluation—provided that the TVL growth is sustainable and not due to short-term yield farming activities. Overall, this positive divergence could be a bullish catalyst for both the AAVE price and the protocol’s fundamentals.
Is $335 The Next Stop For AAVE Price?
In a separate analysis on social media platform X, crypto analyst Ali Martinez set a target of $335 for the Aave price. This positive prediction is based on its recent breakout of a falling wedge on the four-hour chart.
The falling wedge, which is characterized by two converging downward trendlines, is often seen as a bullish formation. After falling into this pattern towards the end of August, the price of Aave has finally broken out of the falling wedge.
According to Martinez, the AAVE price could travel to as high as $335 in its next leg up. This move WOULD represent an over 5% move from the current price point. As of this writing, the price of Aave stands at around $318.5, reflecting an almost 4% jump in the past 24 hours.
