Hedera Bears Seize Control With 10% Weekly Plunge—But This Critical Support Level Could Ignite a Major Rebound

Hedera's bearish momentum isn't subtle—traders just watched a 10% weekly drop shake out weak hands. The charts show blood in the water, but one key support zone might flip the entire narrative.

Where Bulls Could Step In

If that support level holds, it could trigger a sharp recovery rally. We’ve seen this before: panic sells, then institutional accumulation. Classic crypto whipsaw behavior—emotional retail gets steamrolled by cold, algorithmic buying.

Timing the Turnaround

Keep an eye on volume. A quiet bleed-out often precedes a violent snapback. And if you think traditional finance doesn’t watch these moves—think again. They’re just waiting for the right entry so they can sell the news later to overleveraged degens.

Retail and Institutional Sentiment Weakens for Hedera

Data from Santiment shows that HBAR’s social dominance, a measure of how frequently it is discussed compared to other cryptocurrencies, has dropped by 55% in the past month, now sitting at just 0.74%.

This decline shows waning retail trader interest, a key driver of momentum during previous bullish cycles. Historically, spikes in social dominance have triggered rallies, but fading discussion often results in lower trading volumes and sluggish recovery.

Similarly, Hedera’s Smart Money Index (SMI), which tracks institutional activity during the first and last hours of trading, has fallen to 1.108. This suggests that experienced players are reducing exposure, pushing a cautious short term Hedera investment approach

From a technical perspective, HBAR trades in a fragile zone. Analysts point to $0.1885 as a critical support level. A decisive move below this threshold could confirm further downside, pushing the token deeper into bearish territory.

On the flip side, buyers have a clear recovery path if renewed demand emerges. A rebound above $0.2212 WOULD be the first sign of strength, potentially setting up a move toward $0.2636. These levels are now the key battlegrounds for bulls and bears, with traders closely watching price action for confirmation.

Meanwhile, trading volumes remain subdued, reflecting weak participation from both retail and institutional investors. While low volume sometimes precedes a consolidation-based breakout, it also increases the risk of prolonged weakness if demand fails.

Despite the current bearish narrative, catalysts for a recovery remain in play. Broader crypto market rallies, ecosystem adoption, or positive developments in Hedera’s enterprise partnerships could revive sentiment.

Whale accumulation trends have also been noted in recent weeks, suggesting that large investors still see long-term potential in the network.

For now, cautious Optimism defines the outlook. Traders are advised to monitor $0.1885 support and $0.2212 resistance closely. A sustained break above the latter could mark the beginning of a relief rally, while a loss of support may extend the ongoing decline.

Cover image from ChatGPT, HBARUSD chart from Tradingview