Bitcoin’s Stealthy Market Signal: Weiss Crypto Reveals What Traders Are Missing

Bitcoin isn't just dancing to its own beat—it's shadowing a hidden market cue most investors ignore. Weiss Crypto drops the bombshell analysis.

The whisper network: How BTC's price action mirrors an under-the-radar indicator that Wall Street hasn't factored in. Forget the Fed pivot rumors or ETF flows—this is the real stealth driver.

Market alchemy or just another correlation? Either way, crypto traders are scrambling to decode the pattern. (And yes, hedge funds will probably front-run it by tomorrow.)

One thing's certain: In a market where 'this time is different' gets proven wrong every cycle, Bitcoin keeps writing its own rules—and laughing at traditional finance's flow charts.

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“Many are aware that Bitcoin tends to follow global liquidity—with a roughly twelve-week lag,” Weiss Crypto wrote, setting the stage for the reveal. “But Juan Villaverde has quietly tracked a different early indicator… one that can signal where BTC is headed six months in advance.” In a follow-up post he teased, “That little-known indicator? [ … ]. Turns out, its price action often leads Bitcoin by several months—providing a sneak peek at major turning points.”

Villaverde’s thesis rests on a data series stretching back to the advent of modern crypto markets. He points to the trough of December 2018, which, in his reconstruction, was foreshadowed by a significant low in the mystery market some weeks earlier. “After analysing years of data, Juan spotted a consistent pattern,” Weiss Crypto stated, quoting the analyst to the effect that “major lows [there] tend to precede major lows in Bitcoin.”

The same lead-lag cadence, Villaverde notes, flashed red in November 2021 when bitcoin printed its all-time high even as the benchmark asset he tracks refused to break higher—an omen that presaged the 2022 bear market.

The model is not without blemishes. Weiss Crypto acknowledged “one exception in recent years—during the Russia–Ukraine invasion—where the Bitcoin relationship temporarily inverted due to macro chaos.” Yet Villaverde maintains the anomaly reinforces rather than weakens his conviction: exogenous geopolitical shocks can distort correlations, but once the shock dissipates the historic rhythm reasserts itself.

Where does that leave the market in mid-2025? “According to Juan’s analysis,” the firm wrote, “the indicator is pointing to a major high in Bitcoin around late November 2025. That aligns perfectly with his Crypto Timing Model.” Villaverde cautions that the signal is dynamic, not deterministic. If the benchmark asset he watches “rallies above its April high,” it WOULD imply “Bitcoin could march higher into 2026.” Conversely, any decisive breakdown would “be an early warning that crypto’s bull market may be nearing its end after November.”

Villaverde insists the relationship he has identified is robust because it focuses on magnitude rather than direction alone. “It’s not only the turns that matter,” he said in a direct message to this outlet, “but the amplitude of those turns.” By quantifying both, he argues, the signal captures investor psychology cycling from fear to greed and back again.

At press time, BTC traded at $114,522.