Bitcoin Battles at $115K: Is a Steeper Plunge Coming?
Bitcoin's latest stand at $115K has traders sweating—will this be the floor or a trapdoor to lower lows?
Market jitters hit fever pitch as BTC wobbles near a critical resistance level. The $115K mark isn't just a number—it's a psychological battleground where bulls and bears clash. Fail to hold, and the next stop could be a gut-wrenching drop.
Meanwhile, Wall Street 'experts' are busy revising their price targets—again. Funny how they always nail it... after the fact.
One thing's clear: volatility isn't leaving crypto anytime soon. Buckle up.
Bitcoin UTXO Data Points to Changing Investor Behavior
Activity among Bitcoin Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs), a metric that tracks coins being spent either in profit or at a loss, indicates that many investors are beginning to react to smaller price drops, potentially signaling increased market uncertainty.
In a recent analysis on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, contributor Darkfost shared insights on how UTXO activity can reflect broader market sentiment.
“This chart, based on UTXOs from block data, highlights the number of UTXOs spent either in profit or in loss,” the analyst wrote, noting that this approach focuses on transaction count rather than value, helping filter out price-based noise.
Historically, bitcoin has seen a dominance of UTXOs spent in profit, with patient holders benefiting from long-term appreciation. Between July 11 and 13, the ratio of profitable UTXOs compared to those spent at a loss surged above 10,000, meaning for every loss-making spend, there were over ten thousand profitable ones.
However, this ratio has since declined to around 500, suggesting that some investors are now closing positions at a loss even with minor price retracements. This change, according to Darkfost, may indicate short-term selling pressure despite the overall profitable status of most holders.
Weak Support Structure Adds to Downside Risk
Another CryptoQuant analyst, Maartunn, highlighted structural weaknesses in Bitcoin’s recent price surge. On July 10, BTC rapidly climbed from $112,000 to $115,800, but this upward MOVE left little on-chain support in the price range.
Bitcoin Teleported from $112 to $115.8K – But There’s Thin Air Below
“From a technical point of view, there’s no past resistance or consolidation that could now act as support. If this final support area breaks, price could move down quickly.” – By @JA_Maartun pic.twitter.com/a3hQoANfDc
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) August 1, 2025
“The move happened so quickly that no support levels were formed,” the analyst explained. “If momentum drops or sellers step in, the price could fall just as fast as it rose.”
With Bitcoin now hovering just above its last known on-chain support zone, analysts caution that a failure to hold this level could accelerate the decline.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
