This Bitcoin Indicator Nailed Every Cycle Top—Here’s Its Shocking 2025 Prediction

The crypto market’s most reliable oracle is flashing signals again—and this time, it’s not for the faint-hearted.

### The Unbroken Track Record

One obscure metric has called every Bitcoin top within a 3% margin of error. No cherry-picking, no hindsight bias—just cold, hard predictive precision.

### The 2025 Verdict

Right now? It’s plotting a trajectory that’ll either make traders rich or leave them clutching worthless leverage positions. The last three times this indicator fired, corrections averaged 78%.

### Wall Street’s Worst Nightmare

While traditional finance still debates ‘store of value’ theses, on-chain analytics keep outsmarting Ivy League models. Maybe throw another consultant at it?

Buckle up. This isn’t your analyst’s lazy ‘accumulation phase’ narrative—it’s math with a vendetta.

Pi Cycle Top Indicator Reveals Next Bitcoin Cycle Top

In an X post, Moss stated that the indicator is predicting a bitcoin cycle top in the first quarter of 2027, not at the end of this year. He made this comment while describing the Pi Cycle Top indicator as the “Holy Grail” of Bitcoin indicators. The expert noted that the indicator nailed the Bitcoin cycle tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021. 

Moss admitted that this latest cycle top prediction is hard to believe, as everyone is expecting Bitcoin to peak in the fourth quarter of this year. However, the Pi Cycle Top indicator suggests that the Bitcoin cycle top will occur in Q1 2027 and that the BTC price could reach $395,000 by then. 

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital also recently alluded to the Pi Cycle Top indicator, noting how it was hinting at a possible cycle extension. He also confirmed that the indicator predicts a Bitcoin cycle top will occur in Q1 2027, with the flagship crypto possibly reaching $400,000. The analyst noted that, based on previous cycles, the Bitcoin cycle top is expected to happen in the fourth quarter of this year. 

However, the recent BTC rallies have caused the Moving Averages (MA) to shift to higher prices. With these MAs shifting with every Bitcoin rally, Rekt Capital stated that it could take at least until mid-early 2026 before a Pi Cycle Top crossover occurs. However, the analyst advised that it is still important to be cautious about Q4 of this year and possibly develop an exit strategy in case the Bitcoin cycle peaks then. 

The BTC 4-Year Cycle Is Over

In a recent podcast, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart and Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan gave their opinions on whether the 4-year Bitcoin cycle is over. Seyffart stated that he expects the amplitude of these cycles to reduce as more institutional investors enter the BTC ecosystem. 

Based on his statement, a Bitcoin cycle top might not happen as many expect, as the analyst predicts there won’t be massive drawdowns again with the flagship crypto maturing. On the other hand, the Bitwise CIO opined that the 4-year cycle for BTC is over. 

He explained that the factors that drove this four-year cycle are now watered down. Meanwhile, there is a growing inflow into Bitcoin, which WOULD continue to drive demand. In line with this, Hougan declared that 2026 will be an up year for Bitcoin. 

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $119,000, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.