Deja Vu for Bitcoin? Analyst Spots Eerie Parallels to 2020’s Pre-Bull Run Setup

Bitcoin’s recent surge has traders flashing back to June 2020—the calm before the last parabolic storm. One chart-watcher claims the current consolidation mirrors the coiled-spring action that preceded BTC’s 300% tear.

Key similarities? Textbook Wyckoff accumulation, spot volumes drying up while derivatives heat up, and that telltale 21-week EMA tap before liftoff. Only this time, Wall Street’s ’adoption’ narrative smells more like desperation than progress.

History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes—especially when hedge funds need liquidity events to justify their management fees. The real question: Will this cycle’s retail bagholders be Uber drivers or AI chatbots?

On-Chain Metrics Reflect Growing Confidence

This latest rally comes amid broader economic uncertainty and renewed geopolitical activity. According to data shared by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, current market patterns mirror a period last seen almost 5 years ago, marked by high volatility and conflicting economic narratives.

While central banks such as the Federal Reserve have maintained a cautious stance, investor sentiment appears to be shifting toward risk-on, as headlines around trade agreements and fiscal maneuvering spark a surge in buying interest.

Darkfost points to the Bitcoin Growth Rate indicator, which has returned to bullish territory alongside BTC reclaiming the $100,000 level. The analyst notes that current market dynamics resemble the June 2020 cycle, particularly in how external political developments influence asset flows.

For example, recent trade talks initiated by the Trump administration and aggressive posturing on global policy are fueling rapid investor reactions across equities and crypto alike. This sentiment-driven environment, according to Darkfost, makes it challenging to rely solely on traditional metrics for forecasting price trends.

Complicating the picture is the impact of news-driven narratives. Darkfost wrote:

This can notably be explained by all the headline-driven effects, like the one we saw today (“You should buy stocks now”), but also by the fact that TRUMP is starting to pursue trade deals with various countries, such as the agreements made today with the U.K.

These signals may be pushing investors into crypto assets as part of broader diversification strategies. Despite the Federal Reserve’s warning for continued caution, the market seems to be faced with a fear of missing out, creating further upside volatility.

Bitcoin Whales Continue to Accumulate as Retail Lags

In a related analysis, another CryptoQuant analyst caueconomy revealed that large-scale bitcoin holders have remained active throughout the recent price recovery. Over the last month, wallets classified as “whales” have added roughly 41,300 BTC to their balances.

This steady accumulation, especially from institutional investors and corporations, indicates that strategic positioning continues regardless of mixed macroeconomic signals.

According to caueconomy, this accumulation is not being driven by retail speculation but by institutional entities using corporate resources such as retained earnings and debt issuance.

This FORM of capital inflow, often described as “passive” accumulation, can generate sustained demand pressure independent of market cycles. As a result, Bitcoin’s recent gains may be supported by a structurally different class of buyers than in previous bull markets.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView