XRP Exchange Supply Plummets to Record Lows Amid 18% Price Decline—Is a Bullish Reversal Imminent?
Despite XRP experiencing an 18% price drop, its exchange supply has reached unprecedented lows, signaling potential accumulation by long-term holders. This divergence between price action and supply dynamics often precedes bullish reversals in crypto markets. Analysts are closely monitoring on-chain metrics, including exchange netflow and holder distribution, for confirmation of a trend shift. The current setup mirrors historical patterns where reduced exchange availability led to significant price appreciation once demand returned. Market participants are debating whether this marks a bottom formation or if further downside is possible before a sustained recovery.
XRP On-Chain Activity Slows, But Price Remains Relatively Stable
Amid XRP’s decline, a CryptoQuant analyst known as EgyHash has recently shared his analysis on the altcoin in a post titled, “XRP’s Market Paradox: With Ledger Activity Dipping 80%, Is a Rebound on the Horizon?”
According to EgyHash, XRP’s on-chain and futures market data presents a mixed picture—declining activity but resilience in price. EgyHash noted that XRP Ledger activity has fallen sharply since December, with the percentage of active addresses down by 80%.
Similar declines have been observed in the futures market, where open interest has dropped roughly 70% from its highs, and funding rates have occasionally turned negative.
He added that the Estimated Leverage Ratio, which gauges average user leverage by comparing open interest to coin reserves, has also dropped significantly.
Despite these indicators pointing to weakening momentum, the altcoin’s price has only declined about 35% from its peak. This is a milder correction compared to other assets such as Ethereum, which has fallen roughly 60% over the same period.
Additionally, the altcoin’s Exchange Reserve has continued to decline, reaching levels last observed in July 2023. Lower reserves typically suggest that fewer tokens are available for immediate sale, a factor that can help support prices during market downturns.
According to EgyHash, this trend, along with relatively stable pricing, could indicate growing long-term confidence in the asset.
Institutional Developments Could Strengthen Market Sentiment
While on-chain metrics remain a focus, institutional developments may also play a role in shaping XRP’s future trajectory. Hong Kong-based investment firm HashKey Capital recently announced the launch of the HashKey XRP Tracker Fund—the first XRP-focused investment vehicle in Asia.
Backed by Ripple as the anchor investor, the fund is expected to transition into an exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the future. The initiative is designed to attract more institutional capital into the XRP ecosystem.
HashKey Capital is launching Asia’s first XRP Tracker Fund—with @Ripple as an early investor.
This marks a major step in expanding institutional access to XRP, the third-largest token by market cap.
— HashKey Capital (@HashKey_Capital) April 18, 2025
HashKey Capital has also indicated that this collaboration with Ripple could lead to further projects, including tokenized investment products and decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions.
Vivien Wong, a partner at HashKey, emphasized the strategic value of integrating Ripple’s network with regulated investment infrastructure across Asia.
Although the altcoin faces near-term pressure, long-term developments, including decreasing exchange reserves and rising institutional interest, may support its recovery as the broader market stabilizes.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
