Bitcoin’s Ultimate Battle Zone — This Critical Price Range Will Determine the Next Bull Run
Bitcoin stands at the precipice—a technical battleground where the next market phase will be decided in real-time.
The $60,000-$65,000 Conundrum
Market analysts are laser-focused on this narrow band where Bitcoin has consolidated for weeks. Break above—and we're looking at a clear path to new all-time highs. Break below—and the bears might just get their moment.
Institutional money isn't sitting this one out either. Major players are positioning on both sides of the trade, creating the kind of volatility that either makes careers or breaks portfolios.
Meanwhile, retail traders keep chasing the same patterns that burned them last cycle—some things never change in crypto land.
The coming days will reveal whether we're witnessing the calm before the storm or the storm itself. One thing's certain: when Bitcoin makes its move, the entire digital asset space follows.
Why This Zone Will Define Bitcoin’s Next Expansion Phase
In an X post, an institutional-grade reporter, bitcoin Vector, has highlighted that BTC has entered its decisive battleground between $110,000 and $115,000, which could determine the trajectory of the entire cycle. In the past week, spot demand, which is the engine of sustained rallies, was notably weak and capped by the escalating US-China trade tensions.
As those tensions eased, that spot demand showed signs of returning, allowing BTC to claw its way back above the critical $110,000 level. Despite recovery back into the battleground, momentum remains negative and flat. Without sustained inflow and spot demand, the bullish structure could fade fast, leaving BTC exposed to another pullback.
However, if demand holds and momentum turns up, BTC advances deeper into the battleground. A failure to maintain this range and BTC may risk retreating again and raising the WHITE flag.
A full-time crypto trader, Sykodelic, has also offered a highly optimistic prediction that Bitcoin will be back to an All-Time High (ATH) by the end of the month. The market is still in uncertainty and fear, where BTC thrives for its next leg higher.
This is the stage of the cycle where disbelief dominates. As a result, traders convince themselves the rally is over, and that’s when BTC starts to MOVE again. By the time BTC approaches its previous highs, traders will finally believe again, which often happens when another long flush clears out late entrants.
Technically, BTC price is moving back above the 4-hour 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Each time, Bitcoin successfully retests this level as support, the price continues to expand higher. “I think the worst is behind us,” Sykodelic noted.
The Supply Battle That Shapes The Next Cycle
The current Bitcoin market is in a supply tug-of-war between two powerful forces. According to the ambassador of MGBX_EN, BitBull, long-term holders (LTHs) have been constantly offloading their coins, while institutions are aggressively absorbing the supply through Spot ETFs and Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs).
Meanwhile, the treasury holdings have quietly surpassed $120 billion, with BTC still dominating the stack. Spot ETFs alone have absorbed tens of thousands of coins this quarter, proving that institutional demand remains strong. However, LTHs are still selling faster than ETFs, and DATs can absorb. Historically, when this kind of accelerated LTH distribution occurs, BTC tends to lose short-term momentum.
This is not a bearish setup, but it does imply that the upside remains temporarily capped until the selling pressure fades. Thus, institutions are buying the strength, not the bottoms. Ultimately, the next major breakout hinges on when long-term holders stop distributing and return to accumulation mode.
