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TRX Price Prediction 2025: Can TRON’s Bullish Momentum Push It to $0.38?

TRX Price Prediction 2025: Can TRON’s Bullish Momentum Push It to $0.38?

Author:
N4k4m0t0
Published:
2025-07-31 02:20:03
11
3


TRX (TRON) is defying market trends with a 146% surge since July 2024, fueled by record-breaking gasless transactions and DeFi adoption. Technical analysis reveals bullish signals, including a MACD crossover and price holding above the 20-day MA. With tron processing 273M transactions in May 2025 and TRX facilitating $5.4B in on-chain volume, experts predict a near-term target of $0.35-$0.38. This article breaks down the key drivers, from whale activity to TRON’s unique utility in stablecoin settlements.

Why Is TRX Outperforming the Crypto Market?

While Bitcoin dipped 0.48% and the broader crypto market fell 3.8% last week, TRX gained 3.19% – continuing a 22.1% monthly rally. I’ve tracked TRON’s ecosystem since 2023, and this isn’t just hype. The network hit 28.7M active addresses in June 2025 (a 2-year high), with $308M in fees. As CryptoQuant analysts noted, "TRON’s infrastructure is becoming the go-to layer for stablecoin transfers." The chart below shows TRX’s price breaking key resistance levels:

TRX/USDT price chart showing bullish breakout

Source: TradingView

Technical Indicators: Is TRX Overbought or Just Getting Started?

At $0.3274 (as of July 31, 2025), TRX sits comfortably above its 20-day MA ($0.31587). The MACD shows a bullish crossover at 0.001889, but Bollinger Bands suggest caution – the price is hugging the upper band at $0.334987. In my experience, this either signals:

  1. An imminent pullback to mean
  2. A "melt-up" scenario if buying pressure continues

The BTCC team’s lead analyst (who prefers anonymity) told me: "We’re watching the $0.3350 level closely. A daily close above could trigger algorithmic buying."

TRON’s Secret Weapon: Gasless Transactions & DeFi Boom

Forget "number go up" – TRON’s fundamentals are what caught my attention. Their gasless transaction model (live since Q1 2025) has processed 61% more volume year-over-year. Meanwhile, TRON’s DeFi TVL hit $15B despite the bear market. It’s like ethereum in 2021, but with lower fees and... well, Justin Sun’s marketing flair.

Metric May 2025 June 2025
Transactions 273M 251M
Active Addresses 26.1M 28.7M
USDT Volume $4.9B $5.4B
Data: TRON Foundation

Whale Watching: Who’s Buying TRX at These Levels?

While MicroStrategy bought $2.46B in BTC last week, TRX whales are playing a different game. On-chain data shows:

  • 3 "mega wallets" (10M+ TRX) added 47M TRX in July
  • Exchange reserves dropped 12% – a sign of accumulation
  • Derivatives open interest hit $120M (up 39% monthly)

As one anonymous trader on Binance Telegram joked: "TRX is the quiet kid who suddenly wins the spelling bee."

Price Targets: Where Could TRX Go Next?

Based on Fibonacci extensions and historical resistance:

  • Conservative: $0.335 (tested twice this week)
  • Moderate: $0.35 (38.2% Fib from 2024 low)
  • Bullish: $0.38 (June 2025 high + psychological level)

But remember 2022? TRX crashed 63% after similar euphoria. This time feels different though – the network’s actually being used.

TRX vs. The Competition: Why Traders Are Choosing TRON

While Solana and Ethereum dominate social chatter (thanks to ETF drama), TRX offers something rare: utility. Its USDT dominance makes it the "Visa of crypto" in emerging markets. I’ve seen Thai street vendors and Nigerian freelancers use TRX wallets – not because they’re degens, but because it works.

Risks to Consider Before Buying TRX

No shill here – three real concerns:

  1. Regulatory scrutiny (SEC still hasn’t clarified TRX’s status)
  2. Justin Sun’s... let’s say "controversial" reputation
  3. Potential profit-taking if BTC corrects below $100K

This article does not constitute investment advice.

FAQ: TRX Price Prediction 2025

What’s driving TRX’s price surge?

Three factors: 1) Record USDT volume on TRON ($5.4B in June), 2) Gasless transactions adoption, 3) DeFi growth despite bear market.

Is TRX a good investment for 2025?

While technicals suggest upside to $0.38, always DYOR. The BTCC team notes TRX’s correlation with stablecoin activity makes it unique among altcoins.

How does TRON’s activity compare to Ethereum?

TRON processed 273M transactions in May vs. Ethereum’s 189M, but ETH dominates in DeFi TVL ($42B vs. TRON’s $15B).

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