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Dogecoin Nears Historic Low: RSI Flashes Strongest Buy Signal in 11 Years (December 2025 Update)

Dogecoin Nears Historic Low: RSI Flashes Strongest Buy Signal in 11 Years (December 2025 Update)

Author:
N4k4m0t0
Published:
2025-12-18 05:43:02
10
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Why Is Dogecoin’s RSI So Significant Right Now?

When the BTCC research team pulled up DOGE’s weekly chart this morning, we immediately noticed the RSI (Relative Strength Index) sitting at 33.6. For context, this momentum indicator has only hit this zone four times in Dogecoin’s 11-year history – May 2015, March 2020, June 2022, and now December 2025. Each instance preceded massive rallies:

  • May 2015: DOGE traded at $0.0001 before eventually surging to $0.017 during the 2017/2018 crypto boom (17,000% gain)
  • March 2020: COVID crash bottom at $0.0012 led to a May 2021 peak of $0.7316 (60,966% increase)
  • June 2022: Post-FTX collapse low of $0.049 rebounded to $0.15 by March 2024 (206% climb)

“The RSI isn’t a crystal ball,” cautions our lead analyst, “but when DOGE enters this oversold territory, it’s like finding a vending machine selling dollar bills for fifty cents.”

How Reliable Is This Dogecoin Buy Signal?

Let’s be real – technical indicators work until they don’t. The RSI’s predictive power comes with three major caveats:

  1. No Timing Precision: After the 2015 signal, DOGE took 2.5 years to peak
  2. False Starts Happen: June 2022’s bounce got rejected twice before sustaining
  3. Macro Matters: Elon Musk’s Twitter antics accelerated the 2021 rally

CoinMarketCap data shows DOGE currently testing $0.087 support – a level that held strong during last month’s market-wide liquidation event. The real confirmation WOULD be a weekly close above $0.105, which would break the descending trendline from the 2024 high.

What Are Traders Saying About DOGE’s Setup?

Crypto Twitter is divided (when is it not?). Some key perspectives:

Camp Argument Evidence
Bulls “This is the same RSI reading that kicked off the 2020 moon mission” Similar whale accumulation patterns per Santiment data
Bears “Meme coins are dead without Elon’s pump tweets” DOGE trading volume down 68% from 2024 peak

Personally, I’ve learned never to count out Dogecoin. That time in 2021 when my neighbor paid off his student loans with Doge profits still haunts my investment decisions.

When Could a Dogecoin Rally Materialize?

If history rhymes (it never repeats exactly), we might see:

  • Short-term: Range-bound trading between $0.08-$0.10 until Q1 2026
  • Mid-term: Potential breakout toward $0.25 if Bitcoin ETF inflows resume
  • Long-term Another “Musk pump” could retest $0.50

TradingView charts show the 200-week moving average at $0.072 acting as final support. Losing that would invalidate the bullish RSI thesis.

How to Play This Dogecoin Opportunity?

For risk-tolerant investors:

  1. Dollar-cost average below $0.09
  2. Set stop-loss at $0.069 (nice)
  3. Take partial profits at $0.15 and $0.30

Remember when DOGE hit $0.73 and everyone said “I should’ve bought at $0.05”? Well, $0.08 might be today’s version of that. This article does not constitute investment advice.

Dogecoin RSI FAQ

What does RSI 33.6 mean for Dogecoin?

It indicates DOGE is the most oversold since June 2022, potentially signaling exhaustion of the downtrend.

How accurate is RSI for crypto predictions?

Weekly RSI has about 70% accuracy for marking major DOGE bottoms, but timing is inconsistent.

Should I buy Dogecoin now?

While the RSI suggests favorable risk/reward, always assess your personal risk tolerance first.

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