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UK Small-Cap Firms Embrace MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Treasury Model: A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

UK Small-Cap Firms Embrace MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Treasury Model: A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Author:
M1n3rX
Published:
2025-07-09 04:12:02
5
1


British small-cap companies are mirroring MicroStrategy’s aggressive bitcoin accumulation strategy, leveraging equity issuance to buy BTC and amplify shareholder returns. While this approach has propelled MicroStrategy’s stock to outperform Bitcoin by 2.3x (2021–2024), Tobam’s research warns of execution risks—dilution and timing missteps can backfire. For UK investors starved of crypto exposure, this indirect path offers a tantalizing but volatile opportunity. ---

Why Are UK Small-Caps Copying MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Playbook?

The blueprint is straightforward: issue shares at a premium, raise cash, and buy Bitcoin. UK small-caps, like their US counterpart MicroStrategy, aim to boost stock performance by offering investors crypto exposure—a rarity in Britain’s restrictive regulatory landscape. Axel Cabrol, Deputy CIO at Tobam, notes that MicroStrategy’s stock surged 7.5x (2021–2024) versus Bitcoin’s 3.2x, thanks to a three-pronged strategy: converting equity premiums into BTC, scaling exposure over time, and capitalizing on stock-Bitcoin price divergences. However, Cabrol cautions, “Bitcoin adoption isn’t a magic wand.” Firms must balance dilution, market timing, and strategic alignment to avoid pitfalls like MicroStrategy’s 2023 misstep, where a 48% share increase negated Bitcoin’s 43% accumulation gains.

How MicroStrategy’s “Bitcoin Yield” Outpaced BTC Itself

Tobam’s study reveals MicroStrategy’s secret sauce: a self-reinforcing cycle of equity issuance and BTC buys. When the firm sold shares at inflated prices (e.g., 2021’s 50% “Bitcoin yield”), it amplified returns by purchasing more BTC, which then drove its stock premium higher. Key to this was the “Bitcoin price premium”—the gap between MicroStrategy’s stock value and its BTC holdings. In 2021, a widening premium tripled Bitcoin’s returns for shareholders. But in 2023, excessive dilution turned yields negative, proving the model’s fragility. Historical data from TradingView shows MicroStrategy’s realized BTC exposure (β) swung from 0.75 to 1.2 in 2024, underscoring the volatility of this strategy.

MicroStrategy vs Bitcoin performance chart

Source: Axel Cabrol, Yves Choueifaty, and Tristan Froïdure

Risks and Rewards: Can UK Firms Pull This Off?

The UK’s lag in regulated crypto investments makes this model appealing, but execution is everything. Tobam’s analysts highlight three make-or-break factors: 1. Premium Management : Issuing shares during BTC rallies (like MicroStrategy’s 2021 moves) maximizes cash inflows. 2. Dilution Control : Over-issuance crushes returns, as seen in MicroStrategy’s 2023 slump. 3. Beta Swings : Firms must weather crypto winters—MicroStrategy’s β spiked during 2022’s bear market when its stock traded below BTC holdings. The BTCC team notes that UK small-caps lack MicroStrategy’s scale, making them more vulnerable to market sentiment. Still, for retail investors craving crypto access, this might be the only game in town.

FAQs: Decoding the Bitcoin Treasury Strategy

What’s driving UK small-caps to adopt this model?

With limited crypto ETFs and trusts in Britain, firms see Bitcoin-backed equities as a workaround to attract capital and revive stagnant stocks.

How does the “Bitcoin yield” work?

It’s the return generated when a firm issues shares at a premium, buys BTC, and benefits from both appreciation and stock-Bitcoin price gaps.

What’s the biggest risk?

Dilution. If share issuance outpaces BTC gains (as in MicroStrategy’s 2023), shareholders lose value.

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