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Bitcoin Options Market Signals Further Downturn as Traders Pile Up Put Options in November 2025

Bitcoin Options Market Signals Further Downturn as Traders Pile Up Put Options in November 2025

Published:
2025-11-08 06:11:02
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The bitcoin options market is flashing warning signs as traders aggressively accumulate put options, anticipating another price drop. With open interest rebounding post-October expiry and Deribit dominating as the go-to hedging platform, the mood is decidedly bearish. Glassnode data reveals put premiums concentrated at $95K-$100K, while weekly expiries see $5B in positions—mostly puts. Despite brief call option spikes above $120K, the market remains gripped by fear, with BTC hovering around $100,676. Here’s why smart money is betting on downside protection.

Why Are Bitcoin Options Traders Bracing for More Pain?

The derivatives market is screaming caution. Bitcoin options volumes have surged to $202B in October—a 12-month high—with November continuing the trend. Traders are paying fat premiums for puts near $100K, essentially buying insurance against a crash. "This isn’t just hedging; it’s a vote of no confidence in short-term recovery," notes a BTCC analyst. Open interest dipped post-October expiry but quickly rebuilt to $17B notional, proving bears aren’t backing down.

BTC options volume spikes as traders hedge downside risks

October’s Record Volume: A Fluke or a Trend?

October wasn’t just big—it was historic. Options activity doubled as Deribit and BTCC became key settlement hubs. But here’s the twist: November’s volumes are already tracking 30% above October’s baseline. Why? Traders are rebalancing portfolios after BTC got rejected at $107K. Glassnode shows put/call ratios skewing 2:1 for strikes below $111K, with a $95K put wall suggesting traders expect capitulation.

Who’s Driving the Put Option Frenzy?

Institutional players are leading the charge. The smart money is stacking short-term puts (30-day expiry) while keeping longer-dated calls—a classic "hope for the best, prepare for the worst" play. After October 10th’s flash crash erased $5B in longs, traders learned their lesson. Now, 70% of weekly expiries are puts, per CoinMarketCap data. Even at $125K calls, the enthusiasm feels half-hearted compared to the put volume.

Put options dominate BTC derivatives market

Deribit’s Dominance and the $33B Liquidity Crunch

Deribit controls 80% of BTC options flow, but liquidity is drying up. Open interest sits below $33B—a 3-month low—as daily long liquidations erase recent inflows. "Market makers are widening spreads because no one wants to catch a falling knife," admits a BTCC desk trader. The fear/greed index tanking to 24 confirms the mood: pure risk-off.

FAQ: Your Bitcoin Options Questions Answered

Why are put options dominating BTC markets?

Traders expect further downside after BTC failed to hold $107K support. The $95K put wall indicates a potential 10% drop from current levels.

How significant is the $202B October options volume?

It’s a record high, surpassing 2024’s peak by 22%. This suggests institutional participation is growing despite bearish sentiment.

Should retail traders follow the put-buying trend?

This article does not constitute investment advice. However, seasoned traders often use puts for portfolio insurance—not outright speculation.

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