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Bitcoin Derivatives Stay Active as $110K Resistance Holds Back the Market (September 2025)

Bitcoin Derivatives Stay Active as $110K Resistance Holds Back the Market (September 2025)

Published:
2025-09-28 17:11:02
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Bitcoin's derivatives market remains lively, with futures and options showing strong liquidity but mixed sentiment. The $110K level is proving to be a critical resistance point, with traders cautiously eyeing December calls at $140K and $200K. Meanwhile, short-term activity leans toward puts, reflecting hedging strategies. Technical indicators and ETF outflows add to the cautious tone, keeping bitcoin just below $110K. Here’s a deep dive into the market dynamics.

Why Is the $110K Resistance Level So Critical for Bitcoin?

Bitcoin’s struggle to break past $110K has become a focal point for traders. Over the weekend, BTC hovered around $109,449, with the $110K mark acting as a psychological and technical barrier. This level isn’t just a round number—it’s where bullish bets and hedging strategies collide. Analysts from TradingView note that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages are tilting bearish, suggesting consolidation or a potential pullback. Meanwhile, CoinMarketCap data shows open interest (OI) in futures at 707,590 BTC ($77.45B), indicating high participation but also heightened risk.

A stressed trader in a suit sweats while staring at a glowing red screen showing Bitcoin at $110K.

Futures Market: CME and Binance Lead $77.45B Open Interest

The futures market is dominated by institutional players, with CME holding 138,820 BTC ($15.19B) in open interest—a sign of strong institutional involvement. Binance follows closely at 123,300 BTC ($13.5B), while BTCC and other exchanges like Bybit and OKX show varied trends. Smaller platforms like KuCoin saw a 2.88% drop in OI, while MEXC gained 4.87%. The table below breaks down the top exchanges:

Exchange BTC Open Interest USD Value (Billions)
CME 138,820 BTC $15.19
Binance 123,300 BTC $13.50
BTCC 84,390 BTC $9.23
OKX 37,780 BTC $4.13

Options Market: Calls Dominate, But Puts Gain Traction Short-Term

Calls still rule with 60.66% of open interest (199,102 BTC vs. 129,149 BTC for puts), but recent volumes tell a different story. Deribit’s 24-hour data shows puts at 50.87% of volume, signaling growing caution. Key trades include:

  • Put at $110K (Sept 28): 1,311.9 BTC traded.
  • Put at $100K (Oct 10): 853.3 BTC added.
  • Call at $116K (Oct 31): 812.5 BTC traded.

Longer-term, December calls at $140K (9,804.5 BTC OI) and $200K (8,527.2 BTC OI) reveal lingering bullish optimism. The "max pain" zone—where options sellers profit most—sits between $110K and $116K, adding pressure to both bulls and bears.

Bitcoin Futures Open Interest

Market Sentiment: Fear Creeps In Amid Fragile Support

The crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 37 ("Fear"), and technicals lean bearish (15 bullish vs. 18 bearish signals). Bitcoin’s price ($109,479 at press time) is just 1.93% above its cycle low ($107,304), with ETF outflows and profit-taking weighing it down. As one BTCC analyst put it, "The market’s in a tug-of-war—long-term hope vs. short-term jitters."

FAQs: Bitcoin’s $110K Standoff

What’s driving Bitcoin’s struggle at $110K?

Profit-taking, ETF outflows, and technical resistance are key factors. The $110K level has become a mental hurdle for traders.

Why are December $140K calls so popular?

They reflect long-term bullish bets, possibly tied to institutional expectations or macro trends like potential Fed rate cuts.

Is the options market signaling a downturn?

Short-term put activity suggests hedging, but dominant call OI indicates broader Optimism remains intact.

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