Solana Price Prediction: Reversal Fades as Traders Shift to Presales Amid Bearish Sentiment
Solana's comeback narrative hits a wall. The promised reversal? Evaporating faster than liquidity on a low-cap DEX.
The Presale Pivot
Traders aren't waiting around. Capital is bleeding out of established layer-1s and flooding into early-stage presales—chasing the next 100x while the current generation struggles to hold support. It's a classic rotation play, fueled by the desperate hope that someone else's roadmap holds the magic bullet.
Sentiment Swings to Sell
The mood on-chain and across social charts has turned. What was cautious optimism is now outright bearish positioning. Leverage gets cut, longs get liquidated, and the 'buy the dip' chorus sounds increasingly hollow. The smart money isn't averaging down—it's hunting for fresh narratives elsewhere.
The New Game in Town
This isn't just fear. It's a calculated shift. Presales offer a reset on the hype cycle, a clean chart with no baggage, and the intoxicating promise of being early. Why fight Solana's overhead resistance when you can be the first name on a new whitepaper? It's the financial equivalent of trading a complicated relationship for a string of first dates—less stability, but oh, the potential.
So Solana cools, another casualty of crypto's relentless, mercenary attention span. The reversal fades, not with a crash, but with a quiet sigh as capital slips away to the next big thing. Remember: in this market, loyalty is just the time between finding a better entry point.
Technical Analysis: RSI, SMAs, and Bearish Momentum
The solana price prediction outlook has weakened further due to technical breakdowns on multiple indicators. The 50-day SMA sits at $143.38, with price trading far below. The 200-day SMA at $170.70 shows long-term pressure building.
Meanwhile, the 14-day RSI is hovering at 33.29, close to oversold but not yet triggering significant buying support. Momentum has decoupled from early December optimism, as solana fails to reclaim short-term resistance levels near $133–138.
The Fear & Greed Index sits at 16, marked as Extreme Fear, indicating a market dominated by risk-off behavior.
Analysts tracking Solana price prediction metrics warn that a drop below $120 will likely trigger a retest of $110. If that level breaks, the next projected support is around $95. The 20-day EMA has dropped to $133 and continues sloping downward.
Only a decisive push above $138 WOULD flip the short-term trend back toward bullish. Until then, volume remains reactive rather than supportive, and the risk of cascading stop-loss liquidations is rising if another dip occurs.
MSCI Treasury Rule Creates External Pressure on Altcoins
A separate but related catalyst putting pressure on altcoins like Solana is the ongoing fallout from the MSCI crypto treasury rule. If crypto treasury companies are excluded from key MSCI indices, it could trigger up to $15 billion in forced selloffs.
Within that, Strategy Index components could lose $2.8 billion alone. This potential outflow has raised institutional concern and prompted further flight to liquidity, hurting price predictions across the altcoin board.
The result is increasing correlation between policy headlines and short-term price dips, especially in tokens with high circulating supply and exchange exposure like Solana.
Long-Term Forecast: Predictable Growth Still Possible
Despite near-term weakness, long-term Solana price prediction models based on linear growth still show upside. Projections assuming a 5% annual increase place Solana at $131.05 in 2026, rising to $159.29 in 2030, and reaching $259.47 by 2040.
These figures are contingent on ecosystem health, regulatory stability, and continued adoption of Solana in DeFi, gaming, and enterprise tokenization. While none of these outcomes are guaranteed, they show why some investors remain long-term holders even during high-volatility phases.
However, current on-chain behavior suggests few are willing to buy at these levels until technical strength returns.
Bitcoin Hyper Presale Surges as Traders Rotate Capital
As Solana stumbles, new capital is shifting into high-growth presales like bitcoin Hyper, which just passed $29.6 million raised with a live countdown to its next price increase.
At a current price of $0.013445, the token offers entry via crypto or card, and notably also accepts SOL, allowing frustrated Solana holders to reposition. The token’s momentum is being driven by its staking incentives, supply mechanics, and limited presale window, which has prompted early-stage buyers to act fast.
With sentiment souring around major caps, funnel activity into Bitcoin Hyper has risen sharply – positioning it as one of the most talked-about alt launches going into Q1 2026.
Buy Bitcoin Hyper Here
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