Cardano Founder Loses $3 Billion in Market Crash: "I’m Not Here for the Money" – 2026 Analysis
- How Bad Is Cardano's Technical Breakdown?
- Why Are Traders Ignoring ADA's Oversold Signal?
- Where Could ADA Find Its Footing?
- Is This Cardano's Make-or-Break Moment?
- FAQ: Your Burning Cardano Questions Answered
The crypto market is weathering one of its worst storms since the FTX collapse, with Cardano (ADA) hitting October 2023 lows. Founder Charles Hoskinson shocked investors by revealing $3 billion personal losses in a raw YouTube livestream, insisting his commitment goes beyond profits. As ADA trades at $0.2502 (-8.05% in 24 hours) with RSI at 15.82 signaling extreme oversold conditions, our BTCC market team breaks down the make-or-break levels for this altcoin.
How Bad Is Cardano's Technical Breakdown?
ADA's chart paints a grim picture: trading between $0.2594 (high) and $0.2205 (low) in the past day, it's now lodged firmly below the 20-day EMA ($0.2737). That "lower highs, lower lows" pattern? Textbook bearish confirmation. The 9.6 billion market cap is clinging to two critical supports - $0.2436 (Feb 5 low) and $0.2205 (Feb 6 bottom). Break the latter with volume, and we could see panic selling accelerate.
Funny how history rhymes - last time ADA flirted with these levels was during the FTX aftermath. Though personally, I think the current selloff feels more systematic than that 2023 blip. The Bollinger Bands width ($0.0795) shows volatility isn't extreme yet, but that knife-edge tension is palpable.
Why Are Traders Ignoring ADA's Oversold Signal?
An RSI of 15.82 would normally trigger buy alerts across trading desks. Yet here we are - the indicator's been buried in oversold territory for days. What gives? Three words: negative volume divergence. Those red candles keep getting fatter, like bears lining up for a buffet. Even Coinbase's promo (30 free bitcoin with 30 ADA purchase) isn't moving the needle.
I pulled up TradingView data showing ADA's February volume is 40% above its 3-month average. That's not ordinary profit-taking - it's a full-scale retreat. The Fibonacci level at $0.3108 might as well be on Mars right now.
Where Could ADA Find Its Footing?
Let's game this out. Best-case scenario: ADA claws back above the 20-day EMA ($0.274) with RSI stabilizing above 30. That could spark short-covering toward $0.3108. More likely? We test $0.2205 again. My BTCC colleague swears the order books show massive buy walls there, but in this market, I've seen "unbreakable" supports crumble like stale cookies.
Worth noting: Hoskinson's "3 billion loss" claim refers to paper losses from ADA's ATH - not liquidated positions. Still, when the founder's shouting "I didn't join for the money!" during a crash, it's either inspiring commitment or desperate reassurance. You decide.
Is This Cardano's Make-or-Break Moment?
Structurally, ADA's at a 2023 inflection point. The project's still shipping tech (hello Hydra upgrades), but markets couldn't care less right now. That 8% single-day drop isn't even the worst in the top 20 cryptos today - remember when we called ADA the "stablecoin" of alts?
Final thought: Watch Bitcoin's movements. Like it or not, until BTC finds its bottom (check our latest analysis
Source: YouTube), alts will keep bleeding. This isn't investment advice, just my two sats after trading through three crypto winters.
FAQ: Your Burning Cardano Questions Answered
How much did Cardano's founder actually lose?
Charles Hoskinson referenced $3 billion in unrealized losses from ADA's price decline from all-time highs, not liquidated positions.
What's the strongest ADA support level now?
Immediate support sits at $0.2436 (Feb 5 low), with critical psychological support at $0.2205 (Feb 6 bottom).
Is ADA's RSI signaling a buy?
While the 15.82 RSI suggests extreme oversold conditions, the continued high-volume selling makes "catching the falling knife" risky.
